As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Spider-Man: Brand New Day at 93.0% in Highest grossing movie in 2026? — $17.78M traded so far.
The leading outcome, Spider-Man: Brand New Day, is priced at 93.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.5 pts; past week: -2.5 pts; past month: -0.5 pts.
Since November 12, 2025, Spider-Man: Brand New Day has traded between 25.0% and 95.5%. It opened at 25.0% and last traded at 93.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 95.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 95.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 95.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 93.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 91.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 93.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 93.0% |
Spider-Man: Brand New Day is favored at 93.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spider-Man: Brand New Day | 93¢ | 93.0% | -0.5 pts | $718.6K | 4.0% |
| Avengers: Doomsday | 6¢ | 5.8% | +0.2 pts | $1.16M | 6.5% |
| Wicked: For Good | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $2.21M | 12.4% |
| Wuthering Heights | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $2.31M | 13.0% |
| Scream 7 | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $2.48M | 13.9% |
| Michael | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.32M | 7.4% |
| Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $821.5K | 4.6% |
| Toy Story 5 | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $619.3K | 3.5% |
| The Odyssey | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $955.9K | 5.4% |
| The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.18M | 6.6% |
| Dune: Messiah | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $731.5K | 4.1% |
| Project Hail Mary | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.43M | 8.1% |
| The Super Mario Galaxy Movie | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $628.0K | 3.5% |
| Jumanji 3 | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.22M | 6.9% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 92¢ / ask 94¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$17.78M has been traded on this event in total, $1.8K of it in the last 24 hours, across 28 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 07, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolution source: https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 229,987 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 229,987 | $16.1K |
| Accurate-Spirit | Yes | 23,000 | $21.4K |
| Direct-Ape | Yes | 21,000 | $19.5K |
| Joyous-Opposite | Yes | 15,406 | $14.3K |
| stormshadow | Yes | 14,718 | $13.7K |
| Soft-Statute | Yes | 14,540 | $13.5K |
| Quizzical-Discussion | Yes | 12,808 | $11.9K |
| Handy-Ruffle | Yes | 12,507 | $11.6K |
| Flimsy-Organization | Yes | 12,417 | $11.5K |
| Humble-Vestment | Yes | 11,799 | $11.0K |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 08:44 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 0.1% | $5 |
| Oct 17, 12:19 AM ET | No | SELL | 99.9% | $13 |
| Oct 12, 05:52 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 0.1% | $15 |
| Oct 09, 01:00 PM ET | No | SELL | 99.9% | $5 |
| Oct 09, 12:56 PM ET | No | SELL | 99.9% | $5 |
| Oct 09, 12:55 PM ET | No | SELL | 99.9% | $6 |
| Oct 09, 12:54 PM ET | No | SELL | 99.9% | $6 |
| Oct 09, 12:49 PM ET | No | SELL | 99.9% | $5 |
| Oct 09, 12:49 PM ET | No | SELL | 99.9% | $5 |
| Oct 08, 03:32 PM ET | No | SELL | 99.9% | $7 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Spider-Man: Brand New Day at 93.0%. Next is Avengers: Doomsday at 5.8%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/highest-grossing-movie-in-2026?via=bro
$17.78M in total volume, with $1.8K traded in the last 24 hours across 28 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 07, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses.
Spider-Man: Brand New Day, priced at 93.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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