As of October 24, 2026, 08:54 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 98.8% in Hike 25 bps flips No change for October Fed by October 27? — $3.8K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 98.8%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -1.8 pts; past week: -10.3 pts.
Since October 16, 2026, No has traded between 88.5% and 98.0%. It opened at 88.5% and last traded at 97.0%.
No is favored at 98.8%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 99¢ | 98.8% | +1.8 pts | $3.8K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 1¢ | 1.2% | -1.8 pts | $3.8K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 0¢ / ask 2¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$3.8K has been traded on this event in total, $100 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Hike 25 bps" option's hourly odds value is higher than the "No change" option's hourly odds value in the "Fed Rate Decision October 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for 4 consecutive hourly odds values, all published for a datapoint between market creation and October 28, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes for an option for a one-hour "Time Window (ET)", as shown on the listing page and in the "Odds History" graph. Hourly odds values are compared at the precision published by PredictionMarketOdds.com (one tenth of a percent). An hour in which the two values are equal does not count as the "Hike 25 bps" option being higher and ends any run of consecutive hourly odds values. Hours for which PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes no hourly odds value for either option (shown as "NO_PRINT") will be disregarded and will neither count toward nor end a run of consecutive hourly odds values. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 600 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheery-Preparation | No | 600 | $593 |
| Noteworthy-Punch | No | 327 | $323 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 219 | $3 |
| Impressive-Kiwi | Yes | 200 | $2 |
| Weird-Freedom | No | 140 | $138 |
| Silent-Raffle | Yes | 135 | $2 |
| Cylindrical-Jungle | No | 123 | $122 |
| Awful-Tangerine | Yes | 100 | $1 |
| 0x55332464… | Yes | 90 | $1 |
| Perfumed-Moat | Yes | 87 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 04:33 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.0% | $99 |
| Oct 23, 06:07 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 4.9% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 03:59 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.0% | $0 |
| Oct 22, 04:00 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.3% | $0 |
| Oct 22, 03:59 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.3% | $0 |
| Oct 22, 01:49 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.3% | $0 |
| Oct 21, 03:33 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.0% | $485 |
| Oct 21, 03:33 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.0% | $48 |
| Oct 21, 04:30 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 5.0% | $2 |
| Oct 21, 03:59 AM ET | No | BUY | 91.5% | $387 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 98.8%. Next is Yes at 1.2%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/hike-25-bps-flips-no-change-for-october-fed-by-october-27?via=bro
$3.8K in total volume, with $100 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 98.8% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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