As of October 24, 2026, 09:00 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Yes at 82.0% in Will Hilton (HLT) beat quarterly earnings? — $2.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Yes, is priced at 82.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +3.5 pts; past week: +14.5 pts.
Since October 16, 2026, Yes has traded between 57.5% and 82.0%. It opened at 79.5% and last traded at 82.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 60.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 57.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 64.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 78.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 79.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 78.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 82.0% |
Yes is favored at 82.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 82¢ | 82.0% | +3.5 pts | $2.2K | 100.0% |
| No | 18¢ | 18.0% | -3.5 pts | $2.2K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 12¢ (bid 76¢ / ask 88¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$2.2K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 09:00 AM ET.
As of market creation, Hilton is estimated to release earnings on October 27, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Hilton’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $2.38 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hilton reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $2.38 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Hilton releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/HLT/earnings
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 833 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monstrous-Dew | Yes | 833 | $683 |
| Frosty-Funding | No | 300 | $54 |
| Woozy-Stepaunt | No | 238 | $43 |
| Proud-Orientation | Yes | 140 | $115 |
| Nocturnal-Counterforce | No | 138 | $25 |
| Chief-Plot | Yes | 100 | $82 |
| Altruistic-Elver-Ikebana | No | 80 | $14 |
| Infatuated-Nun | No | 70 | $13 |
| Grim-Gift-Fillet | No | 60 | $11 |
| Stale-Cashew | No | 57 | $10 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 02:43 AM ET | No | BUY | 20.0% | $12 |
| Oct 22, 03:33 PM ET | No | BUY | 18.0% | $25 |
| Oct 22, 09:58 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 86.0% | $243 |
| Oct 21, 05:53 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 94.9% | $35 |
| Oct 21, 05:32 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 91.0% | $8 |
| Oct 21, 05:31 PM ET | No | BUY | 9.0% | $1 |
| Oct 21, 05:31 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 80.0% | $440 |
| Oct 21, 05:31 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 91.0% | $18 |
| Oct 21, 05:31 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 80.0% | $8 |
| Oct 20, 10:55 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 79.0% | $39 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is Yes at 82.0%. Next is No at 18.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/hlt-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-10-27-2026-2pt38?via=bro
$2.2K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 09:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/HLT/earnings.
Yes, priced at 82.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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