As of October 24, 2026, 06:35 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Candidate A at 50.0% in Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner — $21.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Candidate A, is priced at 50.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.0 pts; past week: +0.0 pts; past month: +0.0 pts.
Candidate A is favored at 50.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Bill Harvey | 22¢ | 22.1% | +2.0 pts | $4.2K | 20.2% |
| Marti Zucco | 11¢ | 10.9% | +0.1 pts | $413 | 2.0% |
| Louise Bloomfield | 7¢ | 7.0% | +0.2 pts | $3.6K | 17.1% |
| Harvey Lennon | 7¢ | 6.7% | -6.6 pts | $462 | 2.2% |
| Ryan Posselt | 6¢ | 5.6% | +1.6 pts | $2.7K | 12.8% |
| John Kelly | 6¢ | 5.6% | -15.4 pts | $8.4K | 40.0% |
| Mike Dutta | 5¢ | 5.2% | — | $1.2K | 5.8% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 100¢ (bid 0¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$21.0K has been traded on this event in total, $152 of it in the last 24 hours, across 34 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Resolution source: https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 771 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 771 | $385 |
| Awesome-Availability | Yes | 566 | $283 |
| Admirable-Trust | Yes | 54 | $27 |
| Grown-Fence | Yes | 41 | $20 |
| Giant-Otter-Recruit | Yes | 30 | $15 |
| Cloudy-Injustice | Yes | 30 | $15 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | Yes | 20 | $10 |
| Tepid-Monopoly | Yes | 10 | $5 |
| Victorious-Tape-Max | Yes | 10 | $5 |
| Starry-Studio | Yes | 5 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 03:34 AM ET | No | SELL | 99.0% | $40 |
| Oct 23, 11:59 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.2% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 11:32 PM ET | No | SELL | 91.0% | $4 |
| Oct 23, 11:31 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 10.0% | $3 |
| Oct 23, 10:21 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 20.0% | $4 |
| Oct 23, 07:07 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 26.0% | $12 |
| Oct 23, 07:07 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 26.0% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 04:54 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 29.0% | $6 |
| Oct 23, 04:54 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 18.0% | $4 |
| Oct 23, 04:28 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 28.0% | $14 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Candidate A at 50.0%. Next is Candidate B at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/hobart-lord-mayor-election-winner?via=bro
$21.0K in total volume, with $152 traded in the last 24 hours across 34 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/.
Candidate A, priced at 50.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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