As of October 24, 2026, 08:06 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No IPO before November 2026 at 96.7% in Holtec Nuclear IPO Closing Market Cap — $28.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No IPO before November 2026, is priced at 96.7%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -1.2 pts; past week: +0.9 pts; past month: -1.1 pts.
Since September 09, 2026, No IPO before November 2026 has traded between 8.5% and 98.9%. It opened at 21.0% and last traded at 96.7%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 95.4% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 95.9% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 95.8% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 96.2% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 95.8% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 97.9% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 96.7% |
No IPO before November 2026 is favored at 96.7%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No IPO before November 2026 | 97¢ | 96.7% | -1.2 pts | $17.5K | 61.6% |
| $10B-$11B | 3¢ | 2.9% | +1.0 pts | $3.9K | 13.9% |
| <$9B | 3¢ | 2.7% | +0.4 pts | $1.3K | 4.7% |
| $9B-$10B | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.3K | 4.5% |
| $11B-$12B | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $452 | 1.6% |
| $12B-$13B | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.6K | 5.7% |
| $13B-$14B | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $860 | 3.0% |
| $14B+ | 0¢ | 0.1% | -0.4 pts | $1.4K | 5.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 6¢ (bid 94¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$28.4K has been traded on this event in total, $1.2K of it in the last 24 hours, across 8 markets.
This market is scheduled to end September 18, 2026, 05:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve based on Holtec Nuclear's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on September 17 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before November 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,543 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Proud-Orientation | Yes | 1,543 | $1.5K |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 772 | $25 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | No | 403 | $13 |
| Insubstantial-Coffee | Yes | 333 | $322 |
| Grave-Atelier | Yes | 293 | $283 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 238 | $8 |
| Direct-Chainstay | No | 170 | $6 |
| Grumpy-Invader | No | 149 | $5 |
| Boring-Specification | Yes | 122 | $118 |
| Known-Use | No | 115 | $4 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 04:57 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 95.9% | $26 |
| Oct 24, 04:20 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 97.0% | $19 |
| Oct 24, 04:20 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 96.2% | $221 |
| Oct 24, 04:20 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 97.0% | $19 |
| Oct 24, 04:20 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 97.0% | $80 |
| Oct 24, 03:26 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 93.0% | $19 |
| Oct 24, 02:25 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 95.0% | $143 |
| Oct 24, 01:59 AM ET | No | SELL | 0.2% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 01:53 AM ET | No | SELL | 3.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 01:51 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 95.9% | $86 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is No IPO before November 2026 at 96.7%. Next is $10B-$11B at 2.9%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/holtec-nuclear-ipo-closing-market-cap?via=bro
$28.4K in total volume, with $1.2K traded in the last 24 hours across 8 markets.
The market is scheduled to end September 18, 2026, 05:00 PM ET.
No IPO before November 2026, priced at 96.7% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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