Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Holtec Nuclear IPO Closing Market Cap

As of October 24, 2026, 08:06 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No IPO before November 2026 at 96.7% in Holtec Nuclear IPO Closing Market Cap — $28.4K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $1.2K.
Leading outcome
No IPO before November 2026
97%
A 96.7% price implies roughly a 97-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H −1.2 pts7D +0.9 pts30D −1.1 pts
No IPO before November 202696.7%
$10B-$11B2.9%
Bid
94¢
Ask
100¢
Spread
6¢
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Range since September 09, 2026: 8.5% – 98.9% · Opened at 21.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Holtec Nuclear IPO Closing Market Cap
Category
IPO, IPOs, Finance, Business, Recurring
Scheduled end
September 18, 2026, 05:00 PM ET
Total volume
$28.4K
Volume (24h)
$1.2K
Liquidity
$3.9K
Markets
8
Leading outcome
No IPO before November 2026 — 96.7%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, No IPO before November 2026, is priced at 96.7%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -1.2 pts; past week: +0.9 pts; past month: -1.1 pts.

Since September 09, 2026, No IPO before November 2026 has traded between 8.5% and 98.9%. It opened at 21.0% and last traded at 96.7%.

DayClose
Oct 15, 202695.4%
Oct 16, 202695.9%
Oct 18, 202695.8%
Oct 19, 202696.2%
Oct 20, 202695.8%
Oct 23, 202697.9%
Oct 24, 202696.7%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

No IPO before November 2026 is favored at 96.7%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
No IPO before November 202697¢96.7%-1.2 pts$17.5K61.6%
$10B-$11B3¢2.9%+1.0 pts$3.9K13.9%
<$9B3¢2.7%+0.4 pts$1.3K4.7%
$9B-$10B0¢0.1%—$1.3K4.5%
$11B-$12B0¢0.1%—$4521.6%
$12B-$13B0¢0.1%—$1.6K5.7%
$13B-$14B0¢0.1%—$8603.0%
$14B+0¢0.1%-0.4 pts$1.4K5.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 6¢ (bid 94¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$28.4K has been traded on this event in total, $1.2K of it in the last 24 hours, across 8 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end September 18, 2026, 05:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve based on Holtec Nuclear's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on September 17 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before November 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. … (condensed)

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,543 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Proud-OrientationYes1,543$1.5K
0xa5ef39c3…No772$25
Gleaming-HandlebarNo403$13
Insubstantial-CoffeeYes333$322
Grave-AtelierYes293$283
Belated-GlueNo238$8
Direct-ChainstayNo170$6
Grumpy-InvaderNo149$5
Boring-SpecificationYes122$118
Known-UseNo115$4

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY Yes — $221 at 96.2%BUY Yes — $154 at 96.0%SELL Yes — $143 at 95.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 04:57 AM ETYesSELL95.9%$26
Oct 24, 04:20 AM ETYesBUY97.0%$19
Oct 24, 04:20 AM ETYesBUY96.2%$221
Oct 24, 04:20 AM ETYesBUY97.0%$19
Oct 24, 04:20 AM ETYesBUY97.0%$80
Oct 24, 03:26 AM ETYesSELL93.0%$19
Oct 24, 02:25 AM ETYesSELL95.0%$143
Oct 24, 01:59 AM ETNoSELL0.2%$0
Oct 24, 01:53 AM ETNoSELL3.0%$1
Oct 24, 01:51 AM ETYesBUY95.9%$86

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Holtec Nuclear IPO Closing Market Cap?

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is No IPO before November 2026 at 96.7%. Next is $10B-$11B at 2.9%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/holtec-nuclear-ipo-closing-market-cap?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Holtec Nuclear IPO Closing Market Cap?

$28.4K in total volume, with $1.2K traded in the last 24 hours across 8 markets.

When does Holtec Nuclear IPO Closing Market Cap end?

The market is scheduled to end September 18, 2026, 05:00 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Holtec Nuclear IPO Closing Market Cap, according to Polymarket traders?

No IPO before November 2026, priced at 96.7% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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