As of October 24, 2026, 08:02 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Yes at 93.0% in House favorite on November 2 wins the election? — $37.5K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Yes, is priced at 93.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +2.5 pts; past month: +0.5 pts.
Since September 22, 2026, Yes has traded between 90.0% and 93.5%. It opened at 92.5% and last traded at 93.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 90.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 90.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 90.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 91.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 93.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 93.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 93.0% |
Yes is favored at 93.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 93¢ | 93.0% | — | $37.5K | 100.0% |
| No | 7¢ | 7.0% | — | $37.5K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 92¢ / ask 94¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$37.5K has been traded on this event in total, $155 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the party with the higher hourly odds value in the "House Control 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for the "Time Window (ET)" ending at 11:00 PM ET on November 2, 2026 wins control of the United States House of Representatives in the 2026 United States midterm election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes for an option for a one-hour "Time Window (ET)", as shown on the listing page and in the "Odds History" graph. Hourly odds values are compared at the precision published by PredictionMarketOdds.com (one tenth of a percent). If PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes "NO_PRINT" for a party for the specified window, that party's most recent published hourly odds value before the specified window will be used. If PredictionMarketOdds.com has not published anything for the specified window for a party (neither an hourly odds value nor "NO_PRINT"), this market will remain open until a value or "NO_PRINT" for that window is published, and may remain open until November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET for that purpose. If nothing has been published for the specified window by that time, that party's most recent published hourly odds value before the specified window will be used. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://predictionmarketodds.com/house-control-2026.html
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 8,525 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Velvety-Zoologist-Tale | Yes | 8,525 | $7.9K |
| Whimsical-Terminal | No | 7,725 | $541 |
| Angelic-Craw | No | 3,491 | $244 |
| Unlined-Pole | No | 1,322 | $93 |
| Tinted-Consciousness | Yes | 1,144 | $1.1K |
| Reasonable-Paradise | Yes | 986 | $917 |
| Awesome-Availability | Yes | 854 | $794 |
| Creative-Wheel | Yes | 704 | $655 |
| Perfumed-Moat | Yes | 597 | $556 |
| Mysterious-Iris | Yes | 500 | $465 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:01 PM ET | No | SELL | 6.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 07:52 AM ET | No | BUY | 7.0% | $9 |
| Oct 23, 06:06 PM ET | No | SELL | 6.5% | $10 |
| Oct 23, 02:31 PM ET | No | BUY | 7.0% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 03:15 AM ET | No | BUY | 7.0% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 03:15 AM ET | No | BUY | 7.0% | $9 |
| Oct 22, 04:06 PM ET | No | SELL | 6.0% | $3 |
| Oct 22, 04:06 PM ET | No | SELL | 7.0% | $2 |
| Oct 22, 04:06 PM ET | No | SELL | 7.0% | $2 |
| Oct 22, 04:01 PM ET | No | SELL | 7.0% | $11 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Yes at 93.0%. Next is No at 7.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/house-favorite-on-november-2-wins-the-election?via=bro
$37.5K in total volume, with $155 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://predictionmarketodds.com/house-control-2026.html.
Yes, priced at 93.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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