Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by...?

As of October 24, 2026, 06:23 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31 at 26.0% in Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by...? — $77.9K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $4.4K.
Leading outcome
December 31
26%
A 26.0% price implies roughly a 26-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H −5.0 pts7D −2.5 pts30D +4.0 pts
December 3126.0%
October 319.5%
Bid
25¢
Ask
27¢
Spread
2¢
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Range since September 11, 2026: 17.0% – 33.0% · Opened at 25.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by...?
Category
Iran, Yemen, Military, Geopolitics, Middle East, Saudi Arabia, yemeni houthis
Scheduled end
December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$77.9K
Volume (24h)
$4.4K
Liquidity
$51.8K
Markets
2
Leading outcome
December 31 — 26.0%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, December 31, is priced at 26.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -5.0 pts; past week: -2.5 pts; past month: +4.0 pts.

Since September 11, 2026, December 31 has traded between 17.0% and 33.0%. It opened at 25.5% and last traded at 26.0%.

DayClose
Oct 17, 202628.5%
Oct 18, 202628.5%
Oct 19, 202628.5%
Oct 20, 202628.5%
Oct 22, 202632.0%
Oct 23, 202631.0%
Oct 24, 202626.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

December 31 is favored at 26.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
December 3126¢26.0%-5.0 pts$14.0K17.9%
October 3110¢9.5%—$48.7K62.5%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 25¢ / ask 27¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$77.9K has been traded on this event in total, $4.4K of it in the last 24 hours, across 2 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi military forces enter any part of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Houthi military forces" refers to the military forces of the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. "Enter" means that the Houthi military forces, even temporarily, deliberately operate within any part of Saudi Arabia, other than as prisoners of war or as emissaries as described below. Bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of activity will not qualify on their own. An announcement, threat, or claim of Houthi entry will not qualify without actual entry being established. The entrance of Houthi emissaries for the purpose of negotiating an agreement or other diplomatic or commercial endeavors will not alone qualify. In the event of genuine ambiguity, this market may remain open for three days after the specified date. If Houthi entry into Saudi Arabia is not established by the end of the third calendar day, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 3,140 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Unfit-ColeslawYes3,140$816
Quick-TherapistNo2,000$1.5K
Calm-DuskNo1,330$984
Circular-Sandpaper-LarderNo853$631
NoSteinNoGateYes824$214
Queasy-AirshipNo770$570
Feminine-LogYes520$135
Fortunate-Fishing-CivilianNo500$370
Mushy-AsymmetryNo493$365
Near-FamiliarYes423$110

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $1.4K at 70.3%SELL No — $559 at 86.5%BUY No — $375 at 75.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 02:28 PM ETNoBUY75.0%$375
Oct 24, 02:08 PM ETNoBUY74.0%$10
Oct 24, 01:32 PM ETYesBUY11.0%$5
Oct 24, 11:17 AM ETYesBUY8.3%$10
Oct 24, 10:40 AM ETYesSELL26.0%$26
Oct 24, 08:14 AM ETNoBUY93.0%$50
Oct 24, 07:44 AM ETYesSELL27.0%$5
Oct 24, 07:44 AM ETYesSELL29.0%$28
Oct 24, 07:31 AM ETNoBUY71.0%$50
Oct 24, 06:56 AM ETNoBUY93.0%$19

Related markets

More Iran

Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by...??

As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31 at 26.0%. Next is October 31 at 9.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/houthis-enter-saudi-arabia-byptptpt?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by...??

$77.9K in total volume, with $4.4K traded in the last 24 hours across 2 markets.

When does Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by...? end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by...?, according to Polymarket traders?

December 31, priced at 26.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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