As of October 24, 2026, 06:23 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31 at 26.0% in Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by...? — $77.9K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, is priced at 26.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -5.0 pts; past week: -2.5 pts; past month: +4.0 pts.
Since September 11, 2026, December 31 has traded between 17.0% and 33.0%. It opened at 25.5% and last traded at 26.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 28.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 28.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 28.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 28.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 32.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 31.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 26.0% |
December 31 is favored at 26.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 26¢ | 26.0% | -5.0 pts | $14.0K | 17.9% |
| October 31 | 10¢ | 9.5% | — | $48.7K | 62.5% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 25¢ / ask 27¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$77.9K has been traded on this event in total, $4.4K of it in the last 24 hours, across 2 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi military forces enter any part of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Houthi military forces" refers to the military forces of the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. "Enter" means that the Houthi military forces, even temporarily, deliberately operate within any part of Saudi Arabia, other than as prisoners of war or as emissaries as described below. Bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of activity will not qualify on their own. An announcement, threat, or claim of Houthi entry will not qualify without actual entry being established. The entrance of Houthi emissaries for the purpose of negotiating an agreement or other diplomatic or commercial endeavors will not alone qualify. In the event of genuine ambiguity, this market may remain open for three days after the specified date. If Houthi entry into Saudi Arabia is not established by the end of the third calendar day, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 3,140 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Unfit-Coleslaw | Yes | 3,140 | $816 |
| Quick-Therapist | No | 2,000 | $1.5K |
| Calm-Dusk | No | 1,330 | $984 |
| Circular-Sandpaper-Larder | No | 853 | $631 |
| NoSteinNoGate | Yes | 824 | $214 |
| Queasy-Airship | No | 770 | $570 |
| Feminine-Log | Yes | 520 | $135 |
| Fortunate-Fishing-Civilian | No | 500 | $370 |
| Mushy-Asymmetry | No | 493 | $365 |
| Near-Familiar | Yes | 423 | $110 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 02:28 PM ET | No | BUY | 75.0% | $375 |
| Oct 24, 02:08 PM ET | No | BUY | 74.0% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 01:32 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 11.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 11:17 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 8.3% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 10:40 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 26.0% | $26 |
| Oct 24, 08:14 AM ET | No | BUY | 93.0% | $50 |
| Oct 24, 07:44 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 27.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 07:44 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 29.0% | $28 |
| Oct 24, 07:31 AM ET | No | BUY | 71.0% | $50 |
| Oct 24, 06:56 AM ET | No | BUY | 93.0% | $19 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31 at 26.0%. Next is October 31 at 9.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/houthis-enter-saudi-arabia-byptptpt?via=bro
$77.9K in total volume, with $4.4K traded in the last 24 hours across 2 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
December 31, priced at 26.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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