Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Houthis successfully target shipping by...?

As of October 24, 2026, 07:50 PM ET, Polymarket traders price October 31 at 5.5% in Houthis successfully target shipping by...? — $135.3K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $0.
Leading outcome
October 31
6%
A 5.5% price implies roughly a 6-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H −2.5 pts7D −11.5 pts30D −34.0 pts
Bid
5¢
Ask
6¢
Spread
1¢
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Range since September 23, 2026: 5.5% – 73.5% · Opened at 73.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Houthis successfully target shipping by...?
Category
Oil, Iran, Yemen, Houthis, Geopolitics, Middle East
Scheduled end
October 31, 2026, 07:59 PM ET
Total volume
$135.3K
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$13.1K
Markets
1
Leading outcome
October 31 — 5.5%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, October 31, is priced at 5.5%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -2.5 pts; past week: -11.5 pts; past month: -34.0 pts.

Since September 23, 2026, October 31 has traded between 5.5% and 73.5%. It opened at 73.5% and last traded at 5.5%.

DayClose
Oct 15, 202620.0%
Oct 16, 20268.5%
Oct 18, 202617.5%
Oct 19, 202613.0%
Oct 20, 202616.0%
Oct 23, 20268.0%
Oct 24, 20265.5%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

October 31 is favored at 5.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
October 316¢5.5%-2.5 pts$3.2K2.4%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 5¢ / ask 6¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$135.3K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 07:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attacks on military vessels will not be considered. Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris. Seize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship. Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 452 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Silver-AstronomyNo452$427
Belated-GlueYes288$16
Accurate-SpiritYes172$9
Tasty-ZamponeNo152$144
Attentive-CrewmanYes74$4
Grumpy-UrnYes73$4
Direct-ChainstayYes55$3
Grown-FlankerNo55$52
Dishonest-ContainerNo50$47
Straight-WrinkleYes40$2

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $225 at 80.9%BUY No — $50 at 70.4%BUY No — $50 at 85.2%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 21, 11:08 PM ETYesBUY10.0%$2
Oct 21, 07:30 PM ETNoSELL89.0%$28
Oct 19, 02:20 AM ETNoBUY83.0%$26
Oct 18, 05:58 PM ETNoBUY83.0%$4
Oct 17, 10:54 PM ETYesSELL15.0%$2
Oct 17, 08:31 PM ETNoBUY85.0%$19
Oct 17, 04:35 AM ETYesBUY12.0%$9
Oct 16, 02:28 PM ETYesSELL8.0%$1
Oct 16, 01:28 PM ETYesSELL16.0%$1
Oct 16, 01:28 PM ETYesSELL16.6%$18

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Houthis successfully target shipping by...??

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is October 31 at 5.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/houthis-successfully-target-shipping-bylptptpt?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Houthis successfully target shipping by...??

$135.3K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.

When does Houthis successfully target shipping by...? end?

The market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 07:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Houthis successfully target shipping by...?, according to Polymarket traders?

October 31, priced at 5.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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