Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Houthis target Pakistan by...?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:50 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31 at 6.0% in Houthis target Pakistan by...? — $5.2K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $0.
Leading outcome
December 31
6%
A 6.0% price implies roughly a 6-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +0.5 pts7D +0.5 pts
December 316.0%
October 311.9%
Bid
5¢
Ask
7¢
Spread
2¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since October 12, 2026: 5.5% – 20.0% · Opened at 20.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Houthis target Pakistan by...?
Category
Iran, Yemen, Houthis, Military, Pakistan, Geopolitics, Middle East, Military Actions, Military Strikes
Scheduled end
December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$5.2K
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$25.2K
Markets
2
Leading outcome
December 31 — 6.0%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, December 31, is priced at 6.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.5 pts; past week: +0.5 pts.

Since October 12, 2026, December 31 has traded between 5.5% and 20.0%. It opened at 20.0% and last traded at 5.5%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 20266.5%
Oct 17, 20266.0%
Oct 18, 20266.0%
Oct 19, 20266.0%
Oct 20, 20266.0%
Oct 22, 20266.0%
Oct 23, 20265.5%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

December 31 is favored at 6.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
December 316¢6.0%+0.5 pts$1.5K29.8%
October 312¢1.9%-0.2 pts$3.6K70.2%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 5¢ / ask 7¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$5.2K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 2 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Houthis target Pakistan through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Arabia Standard Time (AST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by the Houthis, directed at Pakistan. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles. The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed. Military action that consists primarily or exclusively of munitions that are intercepted before impact will still qualify if they constitute a qualifying military action during the specified timeframe; whether the munitions were intercepted, where the munitions landed, and whether damage resulted will not be considered. … (condensed)

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 449 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Grim-GarageYes449$27
Circular-Sandpaper-LarderNo310$291
frosique1No250$235
Appropriate-LandscapeNo211$198
Belated-GlueYes141$8
Few-PreventionYes137$8
Quizzical-ArroganceYes42$3
Oddball-PoisonYes23$1
Turbulent-NationNo21$20
Internal-HailNo21$20

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $221 at 82.0%BUY No — $200 at 95.0%BUY No — $101 at 89.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 21, 07:57 PM ETYesSELL3.8%$1
Oct 21, 06:07 PM ETYesBUY3.7%$1
Oct 19, 02:56 PM ETNoSELL94.0%$5
Oct 19, 02:55 PM ETNoSELL93.7%$28
Oct 18, 04:47 PM ETNoSELL97.4%$51
Oct 18, 04:00 PM ETNoBUY99.4%$1
Oct 17, 01:03 PM ETNoSELL96.3%$3
Oct 17, 02:36 AM ETNoBUY95.0%$200
Oct 16, 07:20 PM ETNoBUY95.0%$5
Oct 16, 06:27 PM ETNoBUY95.0%$5

Related markets

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Houthis target Pakistan by...??

As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31 at 6.0%. Next is October 31 at 1.9%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/houthis-target-pakistan-by?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Houthis target Pakistan by...??

$5.2K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 2 markets.

When does Houthis target Pakistan by...? end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Houthis target Pakistan by...?, according to Polymarket traders?

December 31, priced at 6.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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