As of October 24, 2026, 08:00 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 70% at 72.5% in How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by December 31? — $42.8K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 70%, is priced at 72.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -17.5 pts.
Since October 15, 2026, 70% has traded between 72.5% and 90.0%. It opened at 72.5% and last traded at 72.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 90.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 82.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 73.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 83.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 73.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 72.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 72.5% |
70% is favored at 72.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 70% | 72¢ | 72.5% | — | $11 | 0.0% |
| 75% | 39¢ | 39.1% | -0.2 pts | $18.7K | 43.6% |
| 80% | 26¢ | 25.5% | +1.0 pts | $11.0K | 25.7% |
| 85% | 8¢ | 8.5% | — | $3.4K | 7.9% |
| 90% | 5¢ | 4.8% | -0.1 pts | $2.9K | 6.8% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 43¢ (bid 51¢ / ask 94¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$42.8K has been traded on this event in total, $19 of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Polymarket has at least the specified daily mindshare, as shown on the Kaito Information Markets Arena page (https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets) at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only finalized daily results from the Polymarket mindshare percentage shown on the Kaito Info Markets page at https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets, specifically the daily values for Polymarket under 'Historical Data', will be used to resolve this market. Values will be considered final once the value for the subsequent day has been released. The resolution source for this market is the Kaito Info Markets page found at https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the Kaito Info Markets page comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on the latest available data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Kaito Info Markets page (https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets), which reports the platform’s mindshare as a percentage to two decimal places (e.g., 66.56%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolution source: https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 19 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dark-Turning | Yes | 19 | $14 |
| Far-Off-Hose | No | 11 | $3 |
| 0x434feb25… | No | 8 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 08:28 AM ET | No | BUY | 76.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 12:06 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 23.0% | $3 |
| Oct 23, 06:33 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 26.0% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 11:57 AM ET | No | SELL | 73.0% | $29 |
| Oct 23, 09:13 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 24.0% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 09:13 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 27.0% | $6 |
| Oct 23, 09:03 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 27.0% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 08:52 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 41.0% | $6 |
| Oct 23, 08:24 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 24.0% | $10 |
| Oct 23, 08:24 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 25.0% | $5 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is 70% at 72.5%. Next is 75% at 39.1%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/how-high-will-polymarkets-mindshare-go-by-december-31-20260630144203049?via=bro
$42.8K in total volume, with $19 traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets.
70%, priced at 72.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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