As of October 24, 2026, 07:52 PM ET, Polymarket traders price >4 at 36.5% in How many coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100? — $93.9K traded so far.
The leading outcome, >4, is priced at 36.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -22.0 pts; past week: -18.5 pts; past month: +9.0 pts.
Since January 05, 2026, >4 has traded between 24.5% and 92.0%. It opened at 59.5% and last traded at 58.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 55.0% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 55.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 39.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 45.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 51.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 58.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 58.5% |
>4 is favored at 36.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| >4 | 36¢ | 36.5% | -22.0 pts | $26.9K | 28.7% |
| >6 | 36¢ | 35.5% | -2.0 pts | $34.2K | 36.4% |
| >8 | 31¢ | 31.0% | -0.5 pts | $1.8K | 1.9% |
| >10 | 27¢ | 27.0% | +12.0 pts | $28.2K | 30.0% |
| >12 | 10¢ | 10.5% | -1.5 pts | $2.8K | 3.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 49¢ (bid 12¢ / ask 61¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$93.9K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026, the number of coins launched in 2026 that appear in the top 100 by market capitalization on CoinGecko is greater than the number specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is CoinGecko’s Top 100 market cap rankings (https://www.coingecko.com/). Stablecoins, liquid staking tokens (LSTs), liquidity pool tokens, and synthetic representations of other assets will not qualify.
Resolution source: https://www.coingecko.com/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 304 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grizzled-Geometry | No | 304 | $193 |
| Definite-Yawl | Yes | 286 | $104 |
| Right-Hardship | No | 240 | $152 |
| Cultivated-Eurocentrism | Yes | 230 | $84 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 209 | $133 |
| Intrepid-Laughter | Yes | 198 | $72 |
| Ideal-Score | No | 190 | $121 |
| Candid-Calculus | Yes | 183 | $67 |
| Weighty-Spectacles | No | 172 | $109 |
| Upright-Porch | No | 149 | $95 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 08:07 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 13.0% | $2 |
| Oct 15, 08:00 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 13.0% | $2 |
| Oct 15, 07:51 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 13.0% | $4 |
| Oct 15, 07:39 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 13.0% | $15 |
| Oct 15, 06:33 AM ET | No | SELL | 87.0% | $5 |
| Oct 15, 06:32 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 13.0% | $5 |
| Oct 15, 06:32 AM ET | No | BUY | 87.0% | $13 |
| Oct 15, 06:31 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 28.0% | $2 |
| Oct 14, 01:39 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 29.0% | $35 |
| Oct 10, 05:06 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 29.0% | $35 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is >4 at 36.5%. Next is >6 at 35.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-coins-launched-in-2026-end-the-year-in-the-top-100?via=bro
$93.9K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://www.coingecko.com/.
>4, priced at 36.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.