As of October 24, 2026, 08:02 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 0 at 48.5% in How many dissent at the December Fed meeting? — $37.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 0, is priced at 48.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +5.0 pts; past week: -1.5 pts; past month: +8.0 pts.
Since July 30, 2026, 0 has traded between 15.5% and 51.0%. It opened at 47.5% and last traded at 43.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 49.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 43.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 44.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 44.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 42.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 40.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 43.5% |
0 is favored at 48.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 48¢ | 48.5% | +5.0 pts | $14.5K | 39.1% |
| 1 | 31¢ | 30.8% | +5.5 pts | $7.6K | 20.4% |
| 2 | 12¢ | 11.6% | +0.1 pts | $5.6K | 15.0% |
| 3 | 6¢ | 6.5% | -6.0 pts | $3.1K | 8.2% |
| 4+ | 4¢ | 3.8% | — | $6.4K | 17.2% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 48¢ / ask 49¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$37.2K has been traded on this event in total, $344 of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 09, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,060 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 1,060 | $546 |
| Pure-Threat | Yes | 1,006 | $488 |
| Unlined-Pole | Yes | 305 | $148 |
| Nautical-Placement | No | 217 | $112 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 141 | $73 |
| 0xd0d90cd5… | Yes | 130 | $63 |
| Attentive-Crewman | No | 120 | $62 |
| Direct-Chainstay | No | 93 | $48 |
| Clear-Cut-Tuna | Yes | 80 | $39 |
| Unfortunate-Particle | Yes | 75 | $36 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 03:12 PM ET | No | BUY | 52.0% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 03:12 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 48.0% | $14 |
| Oct 24, 11:02 AM ET | No | SELL | 62.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 08:59 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 44.0% | $18 |
| Oct 24, 07:44 AM ET | No | BUY | 54.0% | $11 |
| Oct 24, 07:06 AM ET | No | BUY | 53.0% | $32 |
| Oct 23, 11:04 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 47.0% | $9 |
| Oct 23, 11:04 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 44.0% | $9 |
| Oct 23, 07:47 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 23.0% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 07:45 PM ET | No | SELL | 56.0% | $43 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is 0 at 48.5%. Next is 1 at 30.8%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-dissent-at-the-december-fed-meeting-20260730000304473?via=bro
$37.2K in total volume, with $344 traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 09, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
0, priced at 48.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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