As of October 24, 2026, 06:30 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 2 at 27.5% in How many dissent at the October Fed meeting? — $34.9K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 2, is priced at 27.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -4.0 pts; past week: +3.0 pts; past month: +15.0 pts.
Since September 08, 2026, 2 has traded between 9.0% and 30.0%. It opened at 22.0% and last traded at 27.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 24.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 24.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 24.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 24.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 28.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 29.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 27.5% |
2 is favored at 27.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 28¢ | 27.5% | -4.0 pts | $4.9K | 14.0% |
| 0 | 26¢ | 25.5% | -1.5 pts | $16.6K | 47.7% |
| 3 | 22¢ | 22.5% | +1.5 pts | $5.4K | 15.6% |
| 1 | 14¢ | 13.5% | -3.5 pts | $5.7K | 16.4% |
| 4+ | 10¢ | 10.3% | +5.8 pts | $2.2K | 6.3% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 26¢ / ask 29¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$34.9K has been traded on this event in total, $1.2K of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 28, 2026, 07:59 PM ET.
The October Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on October 28, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 811 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 811 | $588 |
| Sticky-Tabernacle-Nursery | Yes | 190 | $52 |
| Clever-Criteria | Yes | 171 | $47 |
| Fair-Tan | Yes | 131 | $36 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 125 | $91 |
| Guilty-Spring | Yes | 124 | $34 |
| Mean-Recruit-Idea | Yes | 105 | $29 |
| Known-Use | No | 83 | $60 |
| Automatic-Cappuccino | Yes | 60 | $16 |
| Clear-Cut-Tuna | Yes | 50 | $14 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 04:34 AM ET | No | BUY | 76.0% | $14 |
| Oct 24, 02:21 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 24.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 02:15 AM ET | No | BUY | 74.0% | $15 |
| Oct 24, 02:15 AM ET | No | BUY | 74.0% | $53 |
| Oct 24, 02:09 AM ET | No | BUY | 74.0% | $152 |
| Oct 24, 02:09 AM ET | No | BUY | 74.0% | $30 |
| Oct 24, 02:04 AM ET | No | BUY | 74.0% | $56 |
| Oct 24, 02:04 AM ET | No | BUY | 74.0% | $62 |
| Oct 24, 02:04 AM ET | No | BUY | 74.0% | $9 |
| Oct 24, 02:01 AM ET | No | BUY | 74.0% | $24 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is 2 at 27.5%. Next is 0 at 25.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-dissent-at-the-october-fed-meeting?via=bro
$34.9K in total volume, with $1.2K traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 28, 2026, 07:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
2, priced at 27.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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