As of October 24, 2026, 08:16 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 3+ at 94.2% in How many goals will Lionel Messi score during the 2027 MLS Sprint Season window? — $13.7K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 3+, is priced at 94.2%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.6 pts; past week: -0.6 pts; past month: +6.8 pts.
Since September 09, 2026, 3+ has traded between 49.5% and 97.4%. It opened at 49.5% and last traded at 93.8%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 91.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 91.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 92.2% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 92.3% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 94.7% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 94.8% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 93.8% |
3+ is favored at 94.2%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3+ | 94¢ | 94.2% | -0.6 pts | $1.6K | 11.6% |
| 1+ | 94¢ | 93.5% | -0.5 pts | $77 | 0.6% |
| 4+ | 90¢ | 89.5% | -0.5 pts | $392 | 2.9% |
| 6+ | 82¢ | 82.5% | — | $605 | 4.4% |
| 10+ | 72¢ | 72.5% | +1.0 pts | $552 | 4.0% |
| 5+ | 70¢ | 70.0% | — | $699 | 5.1% |
| 2+ | 65¢ | 64.8% | -15.9 pts | $467 | 3.4% |
| 9+ | 64¢ | 64.0% | — | $1.5K | 10.6% |
| 8+ | 62¢ | 62.0% | -0.5 pts | $1.8K | 12.9% |
| 7+ | 60¢ | 60.0% | — | $643 | 4.7% |
| 11+ | 50¢ | 49.5% | +3.0 pts | $691 | 5.0% |
| 15+ | 46¢ | 46.5% | +1.0 pts | $835 | 6.1% |
| 14+ | 44¢ | 44.5% | -4.5 pts | $682 | 5.0% |
| 13+ | 42¢ | 42.5% | -1.5 pts | $1.2K | 8.6% |
| 18+ | 38¢ | 37.5% | -6.5 pts | $197 | 1.4% |
| 17+ | 29¢ | 29.0% | -9.5 pts | $147 | 1.1% |
| 16+ | 26¢ | 26.5% | — | $244 | 1.8% |
| 12+ | 26¢ | 26.0% | +0.5 pts | $1.4K | 10.6% |
| 20+ | 26¢ | 26.0% | -24.0 pts | $24 | 0.2% |
| 19+ | 6¢ | 6.5% | — | $21 | 0.2% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 8¢ (bid 90¢ / ask 98¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$13.7K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 20 markets.
This market is scheduled to end May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of goals Lionel Messi scores between February 1, 2027 and May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This window covers the 2027 MLS Sprint Season, the abbreviated 14-match Major League Soccer regular season scheduled to run from February 2027 to May 2027, together with the 2027 MLS Cup Playoffs. Goals count only in official competitive matches: Major League Soccer league matches, domestic cup matches, continental and international club competitions, and competitive matches for the Argentina senior men's national team. Goals in friendly matches, exhibition matches, testimonials, and pre-season or mid-season tour matches do not count. Only goals scored during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time count. Penalty shootout goals do not count. Own goals do not count toward the total. If Lionel Messi does not play in any match during this window, this market will resolve to "No". If it cannot be determined how many goals Lionel Messi scored by June 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer and the relevant competition organisers; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 90 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moist-Crust | Yes | 90 | $85 |
| Past-Disguise | No | 58 | $3 |
| Direct-Chainstay | No | 38 | $2 |
| Sneaky-Spouse | Yes | 31 | $29 |
| Grim-Garage | No | 21 | $1 |
| Barren-Cartoon | Yes | 20 | $19 |
| 0x24d0cb65… | No | 20 | $1 |
| Prudent-Realization-Farrow | Yes | 7 | $7 |
| Evil-Row | No | 6 | $0 |
| These-Latency-Perspective | No | 3 | $0 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 06:17 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 76.0% | $4 |
| Oct 18, 06:16 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 76.0% | $4 |
| Oct 18, 06:16 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 76.0% | $4 |
| Oct 18, 05:59 PM ET | No | SELL | 24.0% | $0 |
| Oct 18, 05:59 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 41.0% | $0 |
| Oct 18, 05:59 PM ET | No | SELL | 21.0% | $0 |
| Oct 18, 05:59 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 41.0% | $0 |
| Oct 18, 05:59 PM ET | No | SELL | 1.0% | $0 |
| Oct 18, 05:59 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 90.0% | $0 |
| Oct 15, 07:41 PM ET | No | SELL | 56.0% | $5 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is 3+ at 94.2%. Next is 1+ at 93.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-goals-will-lionel-messi-score-during-the-2027-mls-sprint-season-window?via=bro
$13.7K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 20 markets.
The market is scheduled to end May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
3+, priced at 94.2% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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