As of October 24, 2026, 07:47 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 1-100 at 64.1% in How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026? — $304.7K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 1-100, is priced at 64.1%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.8 pts; past week: -14.4 pts; past month: -8.5 pts.
Since November 05, 2025, 1-100 has traded between 5.1% and 84.2%. It opened at 17.5% and last traded at 63.3%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | 69.7% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 71.2% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 74.8% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 76.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 75.8% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 69.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 63.3% |
1-100 is favored at 64.1%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-100 | 64¢ | 64.1% | +0.8 pts | $19.5K | 6.4% |
| 1k-2.5k | 16¢ | 16.0% | -1.1 pts | $11.5K | 3.8% |
| >100k | 12¢ | 11.9% | — | $26.8K | 8.8% |
| 101-1k | 4¢ | 4.5% | — | $42.0K | 13.8% |
| 2.5k-5k | 1¢ | 1.5% | -4.0 pts | $12.0K | 3.9% |
| 10k-25k | 1¢ | 1.1% | -0.1 pts | $119.4K | 39.2% |
| 25k-100k | 1¢ | 0.5% | — | $13.8K | 4.5% |
| 5k-10k | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $15.3K | 5.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 23¢ (bid 53¢ / ask 76¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$304.7K has been traded on this event in total, $16 of it in the last 24 hours, across 8 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment. This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 3,069 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 3,069 | $1.1K |
| Discrete-Dispute | No | 2,043 | $732 |
| Warm-Secretary | Yes | 1,194 | $766 |
| Ripe-Visa | Yes | 993 | $637 |
| Occasional-Constitution | Yes | 776 | $498 |
| Flustered-Emission | Yes | 531 | $341 |
| Optimal-Miss | No | 500 | $179 |
| Determined-Percentage | Yes | 433 | $278 |
| Wrong-Heater | Yes | 222 | $142 |
| Second-Hand-Presume | Yes | 165 | $106 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 03:08 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 13.1% | $3 |
| Oct 22, 11:19 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 10.5% | $4 |
| Oct 20, 09:07 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 9.4% | $5 |
| Oct 20, 08:57 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 7.6% | $2 |
| Oct 20, 03:43 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 4.3% | $6 |
| Oct 20, 10:38 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 0.8% | $0 |
| Oct 17, 06:32 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 1.4% | $0 |
| Oct 17, 05:53 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.3% | $0 |
| Oct 16, 06:39 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 6.0% | $0 |
| Oct 16, 06:32 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 6.0% | $0 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is 1-100 at 64.1%. Next is 1k-2.5k at 16.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-gold-cards-will-trump-sell-in-2026?via=bro
$304.7K in total volume, with $16 traded in the last 24 hours across 8 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
1-100, priced at 64.1% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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