As of October 24, 2026, 08:11 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 100k+ at 32.5% in How many jobs added in October? — $24.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 100k+, is priced at 32.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.5 pts; past week: +1.5 pts.
Since October 02, 2026, 100k+ has traded between 16.5% and 33.5%. It opened at 33.5% and last traded at 32.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 30.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 30.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 31.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 31.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 31.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 33.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 32.0% |
100k+ is favored at 32.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100k+ | 32¢ | 32.5% | +0.5 pts | $13.0K | 53.5% |
| 0 to 25k | 22¢ | 21.5% | -0.7 pts | $2.4K | 9.8% |
| 75k to 100k | 15¢ | 15.2% | +1.1 pts | $1.8K | 7.2% |
| 50k to 75k | 14¢ | 13.5% | +0.5 pts | $1.9K | 7.7% |
| 25k to 50k | 12¢ | 12.5% | — | $1.7K | 6.8% |
| -25k to 0 | 4¢ | 4.5% | -0.4 pts | $2.1K | 8.8% |
| <-25k | 4¢ | 4.2% | +0.2 pts | $1.5K | 6.2% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 32¢ / ask 33¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$24.4K has been traded on this event in total, $470 of it in the last 24 hours, across 7 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 06, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for October 2026, scheduled to be released on November 6, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,053 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Each-Summary | No | 1,053 | $711 |
| Understated-Patient | Yes | 676 | $220 |
| Defensive-Plunger | Yes | 490 | $159 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 293 | $198 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | Yes | 233 | $76 |
| Guilty-Spring | No | 209 | $141 |
| Expensive-Arrow-Nightclub | No | 200 | $135 |
| Direct-Chainstay | No | 127 | $86 |
| Probable-Site | Yes | 106 | $34 |
| Vibrant-Minority-Lace | Yes | 80 | $26 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 12:06 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 31.0% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 12:06 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 31.0% | $19 |
| Oct 24, 12:06 PM ET | No | SELL | 67.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 12:06 PM ET | No | BUY | 68.0% | $66 |
| Oct 24, 12:06 PM ET | No | BUY | 68.0% | $25 |
| Oct 24, 12:06 PM ET | No | BUY | 68.0% | $13 |
| Oct 24, 12:06 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 32.0% | $38 |
| Oct 22, 05:07 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 30.0% | $6 |
| Oct 22, 03:54 PM ET | No | BUY | 71.4% | $21 |
| Oct 22, 02:44 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 30.0% | $6 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is 100k+ at 32.5%. Next is 0 to 25k at 21.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-jobs-added-in-october-2026?via=bro
$24.4K in total volume, with $470 traded in the last 24 hours across 7 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 06, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
100k+, priced at 32.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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