As of October 24, 2026, 07:44 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 22–23 at 35.0% in How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections? — $708.6K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 22–23, is priced at 35.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +3.5 pts; past week: +1.5 pts; past month: -2.0 pts.
Since December 15, 2025, 22–23 has traded between 12.5% and 41.0%. It opened at 24.0% and last traded at 35.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 30.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 36.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 36.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 34.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 34.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 31.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 35.0% |
22–23 is favored at 35.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22–23 | 35¢ | 35.0% | +3.5 pts | $13.7K | 1.9% |
| <22 | 28¢ | 28.5% | -1.0 pts | $53.4K | 7.5% |
| 24–25 | 22¢ | 22.0% | -4.0 pts | $37.1K | 5.2% |
| 26–27 | 8¢ | 8.5% | -0.5 pts | $19.8K | 2.8% |
| 28–29 | 2¢ | 2.4% | — | $559.1K | 78.9% |
| 32+ | 1¢ | 1.5% | -0.4 pts | $16.6K | 2.3% |
| 30–31 | 1¢ | 0.7% | — | $9.0K | 1.3% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 34¢ / ask 36¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$708.6K has been traded on this event in total, $241 of it in the last 24 hours, across 7 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections. This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources. For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected. For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 3,229 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 3,229 | $2.1K |
| Wan-Gymnastics | Yes | 937 | $328 |
| Gaseous-Tennis | Yes | 575 | $201 |
| Stained-Cynic | Yes | 480 | $168 |
| 0x91c363ac… | Yes | 249 | $87 |
| Snarling-Inspection-External | Yes | 166 | $58 |
| Skeletal-Liver | No | 150 | $97 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 146 | $51 |
| Fair-Tan | Yes | 116 | $41 |
| Pleased-Vice | Yes | 115 | $40 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 01:15 PM ET | No | BUY | 74.0% | $30 |
| Oct 24, 11:03 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 22.0% | $9 |
| Oct 24, 12:52 AM ET | No | BUY | 74.0% | $15 |
| Oct 24, 12:52 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 25.0% | $11 |
| Oct 23, 11:45 PM ET | No | SELL | 73.0% | $7 |
| Oct 23, 11:07 PM ET | No | BUY | 76.0% | $17 |
| Oct 23, 02:51 PM ET | No | BUY | 75.0% | $6 |
| Oct 23, 08:33 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 26.0% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 07:39 AM ET | No | SELL | 71.9% | $14 |
| Oct 23, 07:39 AM ET | No | BUY | 75.0% | $2 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is 22–23 at 35.0%. Next is <22 at 28.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-republican-governors-after-the-2026-midterm-elections?via=bro
$708.6K in total volume, with $241 traded in the last 24 hours across 7 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
22–23, priced at 35.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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