Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

As of October 24, 2026, 07:44 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 22–23 at 35.0% in How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections? — $708.6K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $241.
Leading outcome
22–23
35%
A 35.0% price implies roughly a 35-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +3.5 pts7D +1.5 pts30D −2.0 pts
22–2335.0%
<2228.5%
Bid
34¢
Ask
36¢
Spread
2¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since December 15, 2025: 12.5% – 41.0% · Opened at 24.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?
Category
United States, Politics, Elections, Midterms, US Election, Global Elections, Governor Elections
Scheduled end
November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$708.6K
Volume (24h)
$241
Liquidity
$132.1K
Markets
7
Leading outcome
22–23 — 35.0%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, 22–23, is priced at 35.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +3.5 pts; past week: +1.5 pts; past month: -2.0 pts.

Since December 15, 2025, 22–23 has traded between 12.5% and 41.0%. It opened at 24.0% and last traded at 35.0%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 202630.5%
Oct 18, 202636.0%
Oct 19, 202636.0%
Oct 20, 202634.0%
Oct 22, 202634.0%
Oct 23, 202631.5%
Oct 24, 202635.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

22–23 is favored at 35.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
22–2335¢35.0%+3.5 pts$13.7K1.9%
<2228¢28.5%-1.0 pts$53.4K7.5%
24–2522¢22.0%-4.0 pts$37.1K5.2%
26–278¢8.5%-0.5 pts$19.8K2.8%
28–292¢2.4%—$559.1K78.9%
32+1¢1.5%-0.4 pts$16.6K2.3%
30–311¢0.7%—$9.0K1.3%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 34¢ / ask 36¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$708.6K has been traded on this event in total, $241 of it in the last 24 hours, across 7 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections. This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources. For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected. For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election. … (condensed)

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 3,229 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
0xa5ef39c3…No3,229$2.1K
Wan-GymnasticsYes937$328
Gaseous-TennisYes575$201
Stained-CynicYes480$168
0x91c363ac…Yes249$87
Snarling-Inspection-ExternalYes166$58
Skeletal-LiverNo150$97
Belated-GlueYes146$51
Fair-TanYes116$41
Pleased-ViceYes115$40

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $72 at 97.2%BUY No — $71 at 97.2%BUY No — $71 at 98.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 01:15 PM ETNoBUY74.0%$30
Oct 24, 11:03 AM ETYesBUY22.0%$9
Oct 24, 12:52 AM ETNoBUY74.0%$15
Oct 24, 12:52 AM ETYesBUY25.0%$11
Oct 23, 11:45 PM ETNoSELL73.0%$7
Oct 23, 11:07 PM ETNoBUY76.0%$17
Oct 23, 02:51 PM ETNoBUY75.0%$6
Oct 23, 08:33 AM ETYesSELL26.0%$1
Oct 23, 07:39 AM ETNoSELL71.9%$14
Oct 23, 07:39 AM ETNoBUY75.0%$2

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections??

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is 22–23 at 35.0%. Next is <22 at 28.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-republican-governors-after-the-2026-midterm-elections?via=bro

How much money has been traded on How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections??

$708.6K in total volume, with $241 traded in the last 24 hours across 7 markets.

When does How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections? end?

The market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?, according to Polymarket traders?

22–23, priced at 35.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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