As of October 24, 2026, 06:34 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 47–49 and 193–207 at 32.1% in How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms? — $88.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 47–49 and 193–207, is priced at 32.1%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.0 pts; past week: +7.0 pts; past month: -1.4 pts.
Since June 25, 2026, 47–49 and 193–207 has traded between 2.1% and 44.6%. It opened at 22.0% and last traded at 31.2%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 25.6% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 24.6% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 27.1% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 26.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 28.1% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 31.6% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 31.2% |
47–49 and 193–207 is favored at 32.1%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47–49 and 193–207 | 32¢ | 32.1% | +1.0 pts | $9.5K | 10.7% |
| ≤46 and ≤192 | 31¢ | 30.9% | +2.1 pts | $13.7K | 15.5% |
| ≤46 and 193–207 | 11¢ | 11.1% | -1.1 pts | $5.4K | 6.1% |
| 50–52 and 208–222 | 11¢ | 10.5% | -0.6 pts | $10.2K | 11.6% |
| 50–52 and 193–207 | 10¢ | 10.2% | -2.1 pts | $11.4K | 12.9% |
| 47–49 and ≤192 | 8¢ | 7.9% | -0.1 pts | $8.5K | 9.7% |
| ≥53 and 208–222 | 5¢ | 4.8% | +0.5 pts | $5.8K | 6.5% |
| 50–52 and ≤192 | 2¢ | 1.9% | +1.2 pts | $4.6K | 5.2% |
| 47–49 and ≥208 | 2¢ | 1.8% | +0.8 pts | $5.7K | 6.5% |
| ≥53 and ≥223 | 2¢ | 1.6% | — | $3.7K | 4.1% |
| ≤46 and ≥208 | 1¢ | 0.7% | +0.1 pts | $2.9K | 3.3% |
| ≥53 and ≤207 | 1¢ | 0.6% | — | $3.4K | 3.8% |
| 50–52 and ≥223 | 1¢ | 0.6% | — | $3.6K | 4.1% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 6¢ (bid 29¢ / ask 35¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$88.4K has been traded on this event in total, $736 of it in the last 24 hours, across 13 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the combined outcome of the Republican Party’s seat count in the US House of Representatives and the US Senate as a result of the 2026 midterm elections. The Senate seat count includes all regular and special Senate elections that determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress and are scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. Vacant Senate seats for which no election or special election to fill the seat is scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 will be treated as held by the party affiliation of the most recent member to hold that seat. The House seat count includes all House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress. Where a Senate or House seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff result will determine attribution of that seat, even if it takes place after November 2026. For seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 4,107 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 4,107 | $2.8K |
| Another-Comb | Yes | 1,356 | $436 |
| Sophisticated-Posterior | Yes | 643 | $207 |
| Past-Laboratory | No | 575 | $390 |
| Probable-Semicircle | Yes | 554 | $178 |
| Innocent-Anteater | Yes | 544 | $175 |
| Skeletal-Liver | No | 500 | $339 |
| Unwieldy-Show | Yes | 404 | $130 |
| Gaseous-Tennis | Yes | 300 | $96 |
| Fruitful-Ectoderm | Yes | 209 | $67 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 03:01 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 32.3% | $30 |
| Oct 24, 03:01 PM ET | No | BUY | 92.3% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 03:01 PM ET | No | BUY | 91.0% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 03:00 PM ET | No | BUY | 92.3% | $28 |
| Oct 24, 03:00 PM ET | No | BUY | 90.8% | $27 |
| Oct 24, 12:19 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 27.4% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 08:26 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 32.8% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 07:38 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 27.3% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 06:01 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 30.8% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 01:53 PM ET | No | BUY | 72.7% | $2 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is 47–49 and 193–207 at 32.1%. Next is ≤46 and ≤192 at 30.9%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-senate-and-house-seats-will-republicans-have-after-the-midterms-20260625152833634?via=bro
$88.4K in total volume, with $736 traded in the last 24 hours across 13 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
47–49 and 193–207, priced at 32.1% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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