As of October 24, 2026, 07:50 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Above 55 at 10.0% in How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act? — $138.8K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Above 55, is priced at 10.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +3.5 pts; past month: +3.5 pts.
Since July 29, 2026, Above 55 has traded between 6.0% and 61.0%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 10.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 7.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 6.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 8.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 11.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 10.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 10.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 10.0% |
Above 55 is favored at 10.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 55 | 10¢ | 10.0% | — | $15.1K | 10.9% |
| Above 60 | 8¢ | 8.0% | -0.5 pts | $13.7K | 9.9% |
| Above 64 | 7¢ | 7.3% | +1.6 pts | $14.8K | 10.6% |
| Above 58 | 7¢ | 7.0% | — | $12.6K | 9.1% |
| Above 50 | 6¢ | 5.5% | — | $48.8K | 35.1% |
| Above 66 | 5¢ | 5.3% | +0.2 pts | $14.8K | 10.7% |
| Above 62 | 5¢ | 5.0% | +0.1 pts | $15.8K | 11.4% |
| Above 68 | 5¢ | 4.8% | +0.5 pts | $3.2K | 2.3% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 8¢ (bid 6¢ / ask 14¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$138.8K has been traded on this event in total, $52 of it in the last 24 hours, across 8 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of Senators voting "Yea" on the first Senate vote on final passage of crypto market structure legislation occurring before January 1, 2027 is above the number specified in this market's title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Above" means strictly greater than the number specified in the title. For example, a market titled "Above 58" will resolve to "Yes" only if 59 or more Senators vote "Yea". For purposes of this market, "crypto market structure legislation" is defined identically to Polymarket's "Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?" market: https://polymarket.com/event/crypto-market-structure-legislation-becomes-law-in-2026-20260727223933088 The qualifying vote must be a vote on final passage of the bill conducted in the full Senate - not a committee vote, and not a vote on a motion to proceed, a motion to invoke cloture, or an amendment. Not every Senator needs to have participated in the vote. The first vote on final passage will be used for resolution regardless of whether the bill passes on that vote; subsequent votes on passage — including any re-vote following a motion to reconsider, or a vote on a conference report or House-amended version — will not be considered. If no qualifying vote occurs before January 1, 2027, this market will resolve to "No". … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://senate.gov
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 433 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Young-Pinot | No | 433 | $390 |
| Another-Potential | Yes | 333 | $33 |
| Crazy-Fishmonger | No | 244 | $220 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | No | 230 | $207 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 203 | $20 |
| Thunderous-Clutch | No | 198 | $178 |
| Hideous-Racer | No | 195 | $176 |
| Bouncy-Saving | Yes | 92 | $9 |
| Attentive-Crewman | No | 92 | $82 |
| Infatuated-Nun | Yes | 90 | $9 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 08:34 AM ET | No | SELL | 93.0% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 08:32 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 6.0% | $0 |
| Oct 22, 02:46 AM ET | No | SELL | 93.9% | $4 |
| Oct 22, 12:29 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 5.0% | $0 |
| Oct 21, 12:49 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 9.0% | $1 |
| Oct 21, 12:49 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 9.0% | $1 |
| Oct 20, 05:26 PM ET | No | BUY | 91.0% | $5 |
| Oct 20, 04:26 PM ET | No | BUY | 91.0% | $6 |
| Oct 20, 04:15 PM ET | No | BUY | 91.0% | $5 |
| Oct 20, 04:08 PM ET | No | BUY | 91.0% | $8 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Above 55 at 10.0%. Next is Above 60 at 8.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-senators-will-vote-for-the-clarity-act-20260729193533306?via=bro
$138.8K in total volume, with $52 traded in the last 24 hours across 8 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://senate.gov.
Above 55, priced at 10.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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