Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

As of October 24, 2026, 07:50 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Above 55 at 10.0% in How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act? — $138.8K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $52.
Leading outcome
Above 55
10%
A 10.0% price implies roughly a 10-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
7D +3.5 pts30D +3.5 pts
Above 5510.0%
Above 608.0%
Bid
6¢
Ask
14¢
Spread
8¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since July 29, 2026: 6.0% – 61.0% · Opened at 50.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
Category
Crypto, Congress, Politics, US Politics, Crypto Legal, Clarity Act
Scheduled end
January 01, 2027, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$138.8K
Volume (24h)
$52
Liquidity
$2.3K
Markets
8
Leading outcome
Above 55 — 10.0%
Resolution source
https://senate.gov

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Above 55, is priced at 10.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — past week: +3.5 pts; past month: +3.5 pts.

Since July 29, 2026, Above 55 has traded between 6.0% and 61.0%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 10.0%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 20267.0%
Oct 18, 20266.0%
Oct 19, 20268.0%
Oct 20, 202611.0%
Oct 22, 202610.0%
Oct 23, 202610.0%
Oct 24, 202610.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Above 55 is favored at 10.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Above 5510¢10.0%—$15.1K10.9%
Above 608¢8.0%-0.5 pts$13.7K9.9%
Above 647¢7.3%+1.6 pts$14.8K10.6%
Above 587¢7.0%—$12.6K9.1%
Above 506¢5.5%—$48.8K35.1%
Above 665¢5.3%+0.2 pts$14.8K10.7%
Above 625¢5.0%+0.1 pts$15.8K11.4%
Above 685¢4.8%+0.5 pts$3.2K2.3%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 8¢ (bid 6¢ / ask 14¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$138.8K has been traded on this event in total, $52 of it in the last 24 hours, across 8 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of Senators voting "Yea" on the first Senate vote on final passage of crypto market structure legislation occurring before January 1, 2027 is above the number specified in this market's title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Above" means strictly greater than the number specified in the title. For example, a market titled "Above 58" will resolve to "Yes" only if 59 or more Senators vote "Yea". For purposes of this market, "crypto market structure legislation" is defined identically to Polymarket's "Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?" market: https://polymarket.com/event/crypto-market-structure-legislation-becomes-law-in-2026-20260727223933088 The qualifying vote must be a vote on final passage of the bill conducted in the full Senate - not a committee vote, and not a vote on a motion to proceed, a motion to invoke cloture, or an amendment. Not every Senator needs to have participated in the vote. The first vote on final passage will be used for resolution regardless of whether the bill passes on that vote; subsequent votes on passage — including any re-vote following a motion to reconsider, or a vote on a conference report or House-amended version — will not be considered. If no qualifying vote occurs before January 1, 2027, this market will resolve to "No". … (condensed)

Resolution source: https://senate.gov

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 433 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Young-PinotNo433$390
Another-PotentialYes333$33
Crazy-FishmongerNo244$220
Gleaming-HandlebarNo230$207
Belated-GlueYes203$20
Thunderous-ClutchNo198$178
Hideous-RacerNo195$176
Bouncy-SavingYes92$9
Attentive-CrewmanNo92$82
Infatuated-NunYes90$9

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $93 at 92.8%BUY No — $92 at 93.0%BUY No — $84 at 93.1%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 22, 08:34 AM ETNoSELL93.0%$1
Oct 22, 08:32 AM ETYesSELL6.0%$0
Oct 22, 02:46 AM ETNoSELL93.9%$4
Oct 22, 12:29 AM ETYesSELL5.0%$0
Oct 21, 12:49 AM ETYesBUY9.0%$1
Oct 21, 12:49 AM ETYesBUY9.0%$1
Oct 20, 05:26 PM ETNoBUY91.0%$5
Oct 20, 04:26 PM ETNoBUY91.0%$6
Oct 20, 04:15 PM ETNoBUY91.0%$5
Oct 20, 04:08 PM ETNoBUY91.0%$8

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act??

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Above 55 at 10.0%. Next is Above 60 at 8.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-senators-will-vote-for-the-clarity-act-20260729193533306?via=bro

How much money has been traded on How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act??

$138.8K in total volume, with $52 traded in the last 24 hours across 8 markets.

When does How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act? end?

The market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://senate.gov.

What is the most likely outcome of How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?, according to Polymarket traders?

Above 55, priced at 10.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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