As of October 24, 2026, 07:57 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 6 at 63.0% in How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026? — $57.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 6, is priced at 63.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +5.5 pts; past month: -9.0 pts.
Since July 08, 2026, 6 has traded between 36.5% and 73.5%. It opened at 44.5% and last traded at 63.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | 57.5% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 57.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 57.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 66.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 67.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 61.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 63.0% |
6 is favored at 63.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 63¢ | 63.0% | — | $26.0K | 45.3% |
| 7 | 31¢ | 31.0% | +2.0 pts | $12.1K | 21.1% |
| 8 | 4¢ | 4.3% | +0.4 pts | $4.3K | 7.5% |
| 10+ | 1¢ | 0.9% | — | $2.6K | 4.5% |
| 9 | 1¢ | 0.7% | -0.1 pts | $2.0K | 3.4% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 62¢ / ask 64¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$57.3K has been traded on this event in total, $5 of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the total number of UK parliamentary by-elections held in 2026. Qualifying by-elections must be elections to the UK House of Commons for a vacant parliamentary seat, with polling day scheduled and held within the 2026 calendar year. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Resolution source: https://www.parliament.uk/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 2,047 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 2,047 | $757 |
| Treasured-Liner-Cheddar | Yes | 1,001 | $631 |
| Piercing-Formation | Yes | 390 | $246 |
| Brown-Tragedy | Yes | 372 | $234 |
| Barren-Expectancy | Yes | 195 | $123 |
| 0xd0d90cd5… | Yes | 125 | $79 |
| Powerful-Waste | Yes | 115 | $72 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | No | 80 | $30 |
| Direct-Chainstay | No | 79 | $29 |
| Svelte-Lawn | Yes | 76 | $48 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 07:50 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 24.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 07:50 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 24.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 07:49 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 18.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 07:49 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 18.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 07:49 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 24.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 07:49 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 24.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 07:49 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 65.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 07:49 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 25.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 07:49 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 6.2% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 07:49 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 24.0% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is 6 at 63.0%. Next is 7 at 31.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-uk-parliamentary-by-elections-in-2026-20260708164636512?via=bro
$57.3K in total volume, with $5 traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.parliament.uk/.
6, priced at 63.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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