As of October 24, 2026, 07:52 PM ET, Polymarket traders price >$140B at 71.7% in How much will be wagered on US sports betting in 2026? — $95.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, >$140B, is priced at 71.7%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.2 pts; past week: +1.9 pts; past month: -11.7 pts.
Since January 09, 2026, >$140B has traded between 46.3% and 97.8%. It opened at 86.0% and last traded at 71.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 70.1% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 68.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 76.2% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 72.2% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 73.2% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 64.3% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 71.5% |
>$140B is favored at 71.7%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| >$140B | 72¢ | 71.7% | +0.2 pts | $16.3K | 17.1% |
| >$180B | 70¢ | 69.5% | -1.0 pts | $21.1K | 22.2% |
| >$160B | 69¢ | 69.5% | -0.1 pts | $36.5K | 38.3% |
| >$200B | 20¢ | 19.5% | +1.0 pts | $21.4K | 22.4% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 48¢ (bid 48¢ / ask 95¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$95.3K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 4 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total amount wagered on U.S. sports betting in 2026 is greater than the number specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source will be Legal Sports Report (https://www.legalsportsreport.com/sports-betting-states/revenue/), using the “U.S. sports betting revenue by month” table. The annual data will be calculated by summing the values in the “Handle” column for all months in 2026 once the relevant information is available. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other reliable sources
Resolution source: https://www.legalsportsreport.com/sports-betting-states/revenue/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 189 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Candid-Sermon | No | 189 | $53 |
| Precious-Physical | Yes | 90 | $64 |
| Oblong-Revascularisation | Yes | 87 | $62 |
| Worthwhile-Omission | Yes | 19 | $13 |
| Bouncy-Saving | Yes | 17 | $13 |
| Gleeful-Comedy | No | 11 | $3 |
| Trivial-Steel | No | 9 | $3 |
| Wretched-Postage | Yes | 5 | $4 |
| Some-Watcher | No | 5 | $1 |
| Joyful-Monsoon | No | 5 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 05, 01:46 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 15.0% | $0 |
| Sep 22, 10:02 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 50.1% | $2 |
| Aug 28, 03:13 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 40.6% | $0 |
| Aug 28, 03:13 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 49.0% | $1 |
| Aug 28, 03:13 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.0% | $0 |
| Aug 28, 03:02 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.0% | $0 |
| Aug 11, 12:00 AM ET | No | SELL | 4.3% | $0 |
| Aug 10, 05:42 AM ET | No | BUY | 48.8% | $1 |
| Aug 04, 03:51 AM ET | No | BUY | 66.3% | $167 |
| Jun 03, 01:52 AM ET | No | SELL | 81.0% | $4 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is >$140B at 71.7%. Next is >$180B at 69.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/how-much-will-be-wagered-on-us-sports-betting-in-2026?via=bro
$95.3K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 4 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://www.legalsportsreport.com/sports-betting-states/revenue/.
>$140B, priced at 71.7% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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