As of October 24, 2026, 08:04 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Ann Kao at 87.5% in Hsinchu City Mayor Election Winner — $32.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Ann Kao, is priced at 87.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.5 pts; past week: -1.0 pts; past month: -6.0 pts.
Since August 14, 2026, Ann Kao has traded between 84.5% and 94.0%. It opened at 84.5% and last traded at 87.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 88.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 88.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 88.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 86.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 87.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 87.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 87.5% |
Ann Kao is favored at 87.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ann Kao | 88¢ | 87.5% | +0.5 pts | $27.9K | 86.6% |
| Candidate A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Chuang Ching-cheng | 13¢ | 12.6% | -0.1 pts | $3.7K | 11.4% |
| Ho Chih-yung | 1¢ | 0.6% | — | $642 | 2.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 5¢ (bid 85¢ / ask 90¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$32.2K has been traded on this event in total, $15 of it in the last 24 hours, across 30 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Hsinchu City as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Resolution source: https://db.cec.gov.tw/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 10,646 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Awesome-Availability | No | 10,646 | $1.3K |
| Hideous-Racer | Yes | 9,652 | $8.4K |
| Mean-Yam | Yes | 1,140 | $998 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 273 | $34 |
| Prestigious-Zephyr-Jail | Yes | 119 | $104 |
| Subdued-Dawn | No | 101 | $13 |
| Attached-Schedule | Yes | 100 | $88 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 100 | $88 |
| Attentive-Crewman | No | 80 | $10 |
| Sick-Epithelium | Yes | 60 | $52 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:55 PM ET | No | BUY | 88.9% | $13 |
| Oct 22, 12:28 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 90.0% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 12:28 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 90.0% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 07:48 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 89.0% | $18 |
| Oct 22, 12:41 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 10.5% | $5 |
| Oct 22, 12:41 AM ET | No | BUY | 86.0% | $43 |
| Oct 22, 12:41 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 14.2% | $20 |
| Oct 19, 07:17 PM ET | No | BUY | 15.0% | $8 |
| Oct 19, 07:17 PM ET | No | SELL | 84.7% | $42 |
| Oct 19, 07:17 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $50 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Ann Kao at 87.5%. Next is Candidate A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/hsinchu-city-mayor-election-winner-20260813135716400?via=bro
$32.2K in total volume, with $15 traded in the last 24 hours across 30 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://db.cec.gov.tw/.
Ann Kao, priced at 87.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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