As of October 24, 2026, 08:20 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 97.1% in Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31? — $8.6K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 97.1%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.1 pts; past week: +0.8 pts; past month: -5.3 pts.
Since August 13, 2026, No has traded between 79.5% and 99.5%. It opened at 82.2% and last traded at 97.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 96.8% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 97.9% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 97.9% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 97.8% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 97.4% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 97.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 97.0% |
No is favored at 97.1%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 97¢ | 97.1% | +0.1 pts | $8.6K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 3¢ | 2.9% | -0.1 pts | $8.6K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 2¢ / ask 4¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$8.6K has been traded on this event in total, $30 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 10:59 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Former President of the People's Republic of China, Hu Jintao, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (Beijing Time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Hu Jintao, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,913 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spanish-Priority | No | 1,913 | $1.9K |
| 0xeb27b150… | Yes | 444 | $13 |
| Muffled-Bandwidth | Yes | 400 | $12 |
| Thrifty-Bonnet | Yes | 300 | $9 |
| Any-Periodical | Yes | 235 | $7 |
| Ecstatic-Veto | No | 207 | $201 |
| Male-Pouch | Yes | 200 | $6 |
| Spirited-Lawyer | No | 173 | $168 |
| Weepy-Sorbet | Yes | 140 | $4 |
| Essential-Diarist | Yes | 140 | $4 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 12:23 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.7% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 05:54 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.7% | $1 |
| Oct 20, 12:28 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.7% | $2 |
| Oct 20, 12:50 AM ET | No | SELL | 96.3% | $1 |
| Oct 17, 06:51 AM ET | No | SELL | 96.3% | $7 |
| Oct 15, 10:28 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.3% | $1 |
| Oct 15, 10:00 PM ET | No | SELL | 96.3% | $19 |
| Oct 14, 11:28 AM ET | No | SELL | 96.3% | $61 |
| Oct 14, 03:01 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.7% | $1 |
| Oct 14, 02:07 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.3% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 97.1%. Next is Yes at 2.9%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/hu-jintao-public-appearance-by-december-31?via=bro
$8.6K in total volume, with $30 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 10:59 AM ET.
No, priced at 97.1% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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