As of October 24, 2026, 08:55 PM ET, Polymarket traders price November 30 at 30.5% in Hung Cao confirmed as Secretary of the Navy by...? — $3.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, November 30, is priced at 30.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.0 pts; past week: +1.5 pts; past month: -20.0 pts.
Since September 03, 2026, November 30 has traded between 22.0% and 52.5%. It opened at 49.5% and last traded at 30.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 29.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 29.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 30.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 30.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 30.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 29.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 30.5% |
November 30 is favored at 30.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 30 | 30¢ | 30.5% | +1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| December 31 | 29¢ | 29.0% | -0.5 pts | $134 | 4.2% |
| October 31 | 2¢ | 2.0% | -0.4 pts | $2.7K | 85.1% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 37¢ (bid 12¢ / ask 49¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$3.2K has been traded on this event in total, $75 of it in the last 24 hours, across 3 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Hung Cao is confirmed by the U.S. Senate as Secretary of the Navy by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Hung Cao's nomination is formally withdrawn, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee as Secretary of the Navy for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Hung Cao's service as Acting Secretary of the Navy will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 02:34 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.5% | $3 |
| Oct 23, 05:21 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.9% | $50 |
| Oct 13, 10:53 PM ET | No | BUY | 95.0% | $48 |
| Oct 02, 03:18 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.0% | $0 |
| Sep 28, 08:56 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 18.0% | $2 |
| Sep 28, 07:32 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.9% | $2.2K |
| Sep 25, 05:12 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.0% | $1 |
| Sep 25, 05:12 PM ET | No | BUY | 93.9% | $250 |
| Sep 25, 05:12 PM ET | No | BUY | 49.7% | $66 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is November 30 at 30.5%. Next is December 31 at 29.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/hung-cao-confirmed-as-secretary-of-the-navy-by?via=bro
$3.2K in total volume, with $75 traded in the last 24 hours across 3 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
November 30, priced at 30.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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