Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Huon Valley Mayoral Election Winner

As of October 24, 2026, 08:04 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Candidate C at 50.0% in Huon Valley Mayoral Election Winner — $32.4K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $289.
Leading outcome
Candidate C
50%
A 50.0% price implies roughly a 50-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +0.0 pts7D +0.0 pts30D +0.0 pts
Candidate C50.0%
Candidate D50.0%
Bid
0¢
Ask
100¢
Spread
100¢
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Market facts

Event data
Event
Huon Valley Mayoral Election Winner
Category
Mayoral, Politics, Australia, Main Election, Global Elections
Scheduled end
October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$32.4K
Volume (24h)
$289
Liquidity
$86.7K
Markets
31
Leading outcome
Candidate C — 50.0%
Resolution source
https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Candidate C, is priced at 50.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.0 pts; past week: +0.0 pts; past month: +0.0 pts.

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Candidate C is favored at 50.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Candidate C50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate D50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate E50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate F50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate G50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate H50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate I50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate J50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate K50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate L50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate M50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate N50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate O50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate P50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate Q50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate R50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate S50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate T50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate U50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate V50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate W50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate X50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate Y50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate Z50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Other50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Mark Jessop28¢28.0%+1.0 pts$3.6K11.0%
Abby McKibben26¢26.0%-10.0 pts$4.0K12.4%
Paul Gibson24¢23.5%+4.0 pts$6.4K19.6%
Sally Doyle2¢1.6%—$15.7K48.5%
Marshall Callaghan2¢1.6%—$9613.0%
Toby Thorpe1¢0.5%-0.5 pts$1.8K5.5%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 100¢ (bid 0¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$32.4K has been traded on this event in total, $289 of it in the last 24 hours, across 31 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Huon Valley Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).

Resolution source: https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 799 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
0xa5ef39c3…No799$400
Awesome-AvailabilityYes490$245
Belated-GlueYes182$91
Starry-StudioYes94$47
Required-HornYes15$8
Grown-FenceYes7$4
Powerful-WasteYes5$2
Admirable-TrustYes5$2

What are the latest trades?

Tape
SELL No — $265 at 98.1%SELL No — $117 at 67.0%SELL No — $84 at 98.9%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 02:34 PM ETNoSELL78.0%$16
Oct 24, 08:25 AM ETNoBUY77.0%$38
Oct 24, 07:02 AM ETNoBUY66.0%$13
Oct 24, 01:26 AM ETNoBUY66.0%$13
Oct 23, 09:57 AM ETYesBUY28.0%$34
Oct 23, 05:48 AM ETNoBUY65.0%$46
Oct 23, 05:23 AM ETNoSELL97.1%$2
Oct 23, 02:57 AM ETNoSELL63.0%$1
Oct 23, 02:57 AM ETNoBUY78.0%$31
Oct 23, 02:57 AM ETNoSELL63.0%$18

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Huon Valley Mayoral Election Winner?

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Candidate C at 50.0%. Next is Candidate D at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/huon-valley-mayoral-election-winner-2026?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Huon Valley Mayoral Election Winner?

$32.4K in total volume, with $289 traded in the last 24 hours across 31 markets.

When does Huon Valley Mayoral Election Winner end?

The market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/.

What is the most likely outcome of Huon Valley Mayoral Election Winner, according to Polymarket traders?

Candidate C, priced at 50.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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