As of October 24, 2026, 07:45 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31, 2027 at 48.5% in Hyperliquid airdrop by ....? — $618.5K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, 2027, is priced at 48.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +5.5 pts; past week: +6.0 pts; past month: +12.5 pts.
Since April 27, 2026, December 31, 2027 has traded between 26.5% and 74.5%. It opened at 38.0% and last traded at 48.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 42.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 42.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 42.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 48.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 42.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 43.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 48.5% |
December 31, 2027 is favored at 48.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2027 | 48¢ | 48.5% | +5.5 pts | $6.6K | 1.1% |
| June 30, 2027 | 28¢ | 27.5% | — | $2.6K | 0.4% |
| December 31, 2026 | 8¢ | 8.5% | +0.5 pts | $247.3K | 40.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 19¢ (bid 39¢ / ask 58¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$618.5K has been traded on this event in total, $659 of it in the last 24 hours, across 3 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hyperliquid performs a second airdrop by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from Hyperliquid, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,092 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Skeletal-Cheetah | No | 1,092 | $563 |
| Marvelous-Revenue | Yes | 796 | $386 |
| dima23000 | No | 703 | $362 |
| Hasty-Chain | Yes | 413 | $200 |
| Colossal-Belfry | No | 404 | $208 |
| Evil-Row | No | 395 | $203 |
| Quaint-Soil | Yes | 387 | $188 |
| Original-Fantasy | Yes | 365 | $177 |
| Bubbly-Photo-Entree | No | 346 | $178 |
| Overcooked-Scrutiny | Yes | 305 | $148 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 04:43 PM ET | No | BUY | 61.2% | $300 |
| Oct 23, 07:23 PM ET | No | SELL | 55.1% | $93 |
| Oct 23, 04:32 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 8.1% | $20 |
| Oct 23, 11:47 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 41.0% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 11:46 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 44.0% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 02:30 AM ET | No | SELL | 92.0% | $419 |
| Oct 22, 11:54 PM ET | No | BUY | 92.0% | $354 |
| Oct 22, 02:30 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 8.0% | $9 |
| Oct 22, 08:56 AM ET | No | SELL | 91.0% | $46 |
| Oct 21, 05:06 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 26.0% | $24 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31, 2027 at 48.5%. Next is June 30, 2027 at 27.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/hyperliquid-airdop-by?via=bro
$618.5K in total volume, with $659 traded in the last 24 hours across 3 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
December 31, 2027, priced at 48.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
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