As of October 24, 2026, 09:01 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Yes at 75.0% in Will Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) beat quarterly earnings? — $1.9K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Yes, is priced at 75.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +10.5 pts.
Since October 16, 2026, Yes has traded between 64.5% and 80.5%. It opened at 70.5% and last traded at 75.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 70.5% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 64.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 77.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 80.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 79.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 76.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 75.0% |
Yes is favored at 75.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 75¢ | 75.0% | — | $1.9K | 100.0% |
| No | 25¢ | 25.0% | — | $1.9K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 74¢ / ask 76¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$1.9K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end October 29, 2026, 09:00 AM ET.
As of market creation, Intercontinental Exchange is estimated to release earnings on October 29, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Intercontinental Exchange’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $1.98 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Intercontinental Exchange reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $1.98 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Intercontinental Exchange releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ICE/earnings
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 691 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Awesome-Availability | No | 691 | $173 |
| Chief-Plot | Yes | 550 | $412 |
| Witty-Birch | Yes | 231 | $173 |
| Nocturnal-Counterforce | No | 60 | $15 |
| Key-Velocity | Yes | 50 | $38 |
| Uniform-Sunflower | No | 50 | $12 |
| Scary-Neck-Vascular | No | 30 | $8 |
| 0xd45bf309… | Yes | 21 | $16 |
| Scholarly-Apprehension-Stirfry | No | 21 | $5 |
| Plump-Implementation | Yes | 20 | $15 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 04:02 AM ET | No | BUY | 24.0% | $12 |
| Oct 23, 04:02 AM ET | No | BUY | 25.0% | $12 |
| Oct 22, 06:46 PM ET | No | BUY | 24.0% | $5 |
| Oct 22, 06:44 PM ET | No | BUY | 22.0% | $11 |
| Oct 22, 03:36 PM ET | No | BUY | 21.0% | $2 |
| Oct 22, 10:23 AM ET | No | SELL | 20.0% | $8 |
| Oct 21, 12:02 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 81.0% | $40 |
| Oct 21, 12:02 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 80.0% | $40 |
| Oct 19, 02:07 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 78.3% | $23 |
| Oct 18, 10:42 AM ET | No | BUY | 24.0% | $5 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is Yes at 75.0%. Next is No at 25.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/ice-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-10-29-2026-1pt98?via=bro
$1.9K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 29, 2026, 09:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ICE/earnings.
Yes, priced at 75.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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