As of October 24, 2026, 06:37 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 73.5% in Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion? — $16.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 73.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +5.0 pts; past week: +10.5 pts; past month: -30.0 pts.
Since July 30, 2026, No has traded between 28.5% and 86.0%. It opened at 47.0% and last traded at 73.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 84.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 84.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 86.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 85.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 83.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 75.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 73.5% |
No is favored at 73.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 74¢ | 73.5% | -5.0 pts | $16.0K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 26¢ | 26.5% | +5.0 pts | $16.0K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 26¢ / ask 27¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$16.0K has been traded on this event in total, $151 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Idaho Proposition 1 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would create a right to abortion and other reproductive choices in the State of Idaho. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Idaho statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Idaho, including the Idaho Secretary of State (https://sos.idaho.gov/).
Resolution source: https://sos.idaho.gov/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 2,678 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Powerless-Bijou | No | 2,678 | $2.0K |
| Unfit-Hardboard | Yes | 2,673 | $708 |
| Measly-Gelatin | No | 1,703 | $1.3K |
| Majestic-Dysfunction | Yes | 1,251 | $331 |
| Winged-Holder | No | 428 | $315 |
| Chubby-Prior | No | 427 | $314 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 401 | $106 |
| 0xb8da71bd… | No | 343 | $252 |
| Horrible-App | Yes | 274 | $73 |
| Cultivated-Diesel | Yes | 274 | $72 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 04:11 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 27.0% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 02:27 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 27.0% | $4 |
| Oct 23, 07:51 PM ET | No | SELL | 75.0% | $15 |
| Oct 23, 07:35 PM ET | No | SELL | 74.0% | $7 |
| Oct 23, 07:35 PM ET | No | SELL | 74.0% | $7 |
| Oct 23, 07:34 PM ET | No | SELL | 75.0% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 07:33 PM ET | No | SELL | 75.0% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 07:33 PM ET | No | SELL | 75.0% | $7 |
| Oct 23, 07:32 PM ET | No | SELL | 75.0% | $7 |
| Oct 23, 07:32 PM ET | No | SELL | 75.0% | $7 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 73.5%. Next is Yes at 26.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/idaho-passes-ballot-measure-legalizing-abortion-20260729165257291?via=bro
$16.0K in total volume, with $151 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://sos.idaho.gov/.
No, priced at 73.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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