As of October 24, 2026, 06:35 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 600K-640K at 35.0% in Idaho Senate Election: Turnout — $16.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 600K-640K, is priced at 35.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -6.5 pts; past week: +4.5 pts; past month: -16.0 pts.
Since August 18, 2026, 600K-640K has traded between 5.5% and 56.5%. It opened at 44.0% and last traded at 32.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 30.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 30.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 30.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 30.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 39.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 41.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 32.0% |
600K-640K is favored at 35.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 600K-640K | 35¢ | 35.0% | -6.5 pts | $4.8K | 29.8% |
| 680K-720K | 16¢ | 16.5% | -0.5 pts | $1.9K | 12.1% |
| 720K+ | 15¢ | 14.8% | -4.3 pts | $2.3K | 14.2% |
| 640K-680K | 14¢ | 14.5% | -5.5 pts | $2.9K | 18.0% |
| 520K-560K | 7¢ | 7.1% | +2.7 pts | $1.2K | 7.4% |
| 560K-600K | 5¢ | 4.6% | -0.1 pts | $914 | 5.7% |
| 480K-520K | 4¢ | 3.8% | +0.3 pts | $996 | 6.2% |
| <480K | 2¢ | 2.5% | +0.1 pts | $1.1K | 6.6% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 44¢ (bid 13¢ / ask 57¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$16.0K has been traded on this event in total, $660 of it in the last 24 hours, across 8 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 698 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 698 | $454 |
| Fat-Fat-Hourglass | Yes | 347 | $121 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 143 | $50 |
| Required-Tactics | Yes | 100 | $35 |
| Evil-Row | Yes | 88 | $31 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | Yes | 55 | $19 |
| Infatuated-Nun | Yes | 29 | $10 |
| Zigzag-Conspirator-Glee | No | 20 | $13 |
| Plastic-Duck | No | 20 | $13 |
| Attentive-Crewman | No | 20 | $13 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 02:23 PM ET | No | SELL | 56.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 02:23 PM ET | No | BUY | 64.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 02:23 PM ET | No | BUY | 64.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 02:23 PM ET | No | BUY | 65.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 12:39 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 14.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 12:39 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 15.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 12:39 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 42.0% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 12:39 PM ET | No | BUY | 84.0% | $17 |
| Oct 24, 12:39 PM ET | No | BUY | 84.0% | $34 |
| Oct 24, 12:39 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 44.0% | $18 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is 600K-640K at 35.0%. Next is 680K-720K at 16.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/idaho-senate-election-turnout?via=bro
$16.0K in total volume, with $660 traded in the last 24 hours across 8 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
600K-640K, priced at 35.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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