As of October 24, 2026, 06:55 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31 at 29.5% in Ilhan Omar federally charged by...? — $159.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, is priced at 29.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -8.0 pts; past week: +7.0 pts.
Since October 12, 2026, December 31 has traded between 9.5% and 37.5%. It opened at 9.5% and last traded at 37.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | 25.5% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 29.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 24.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 20.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 22.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 24.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 37.5% |
December 31 is favored at 29.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 30¢ | 29.5% | -8.0 pts | $88.1K | 55.3% |
| October 31 | 4¢ | 3.8% | -1.9 pts | $71.2K | 44.7% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 29¢ / ask 30¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$159.3K has been traded on this event in total, $18.2K of it in the last 24 hours, across 2 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Ilhan Omar between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 21,978 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Similar-Format | Yes | 21,978 | $6.5K |
| Cheerful-Ephemera | No | 13,772 | $9.7K |
| Smoggy-Sunglasses | No | 7,497 | $5.3K |
| Buzzing-Beginner | No | 7,462 | $5.3K |
| Appropriate-Antennae-Layer | Yes | 3,580 | $1.1K |
| Verifiable-Obstacle | Yes | 3,152 | $930 |
| Grounded-Depression | No | 2,578 | $1.8K |
| Cheery-Science | Yes | 1,714 | $506 |
| Wan-Withdrawal | Yes | 1,467 | $433 |
| Lean-Attraction | No | 1,111 | $783 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:00 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 30.0% | $75 |
| Oct 24, 05:21 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 29.1% | $28 |
| Oct 24, 05:21 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 28.0% | $56 |
| Oct 24, 04:32 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 27.0% | $45 |
| Oct 24, 04:30 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 27.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 04:28 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 27.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 04:14 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 26.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 03:29 PM ET | No | BUY | 73.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 03:28 PM ET | No | BUY | 73.4% | $140 |
| Oct 24, 03:28 PM ET | No | BUY | 70.9% | $231 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31 at 29.5%. Next is October 31 at 3.8%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/ilhan-omar-federally-charged-byptptpt?via=bro
$159.3K in total volume, with $18.2K traded in the last 24 hours across 2 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
December 31, priced at 29.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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