As of October 24, 2026, 08:55 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 91.0% in Imran Khan released from prison by December 31, 2026? — $3.5K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 91.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — past month: +0.5 pts.
Since July 06, 2026, No has traded between 47.5% and 91.5%. It opened at 63.5% and last traded at 91.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 91.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 91.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 91.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 91.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 91.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 91.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 91.0% |
No is favored at 91.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 91¢ | 91.0% | — | $3.5K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 9¢ | 9.0% | — | $3.5K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 8¢ / ask 10¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$3.5K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former Pakistani Prime Minister Imran Khan is released from prison by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, Imran Khan will be considered to have been released from prison only if he is not physically held in any Pakistani detention facility, including any prison, remand facility, or other place of formal custody, for a continuous period of at least 24 hours. A temporary release for medical treatment, a release on bail that is contingent on return to custody, or a release from one case while remaining in custody under another will not qualify. Release under house arrest, with travel restrictions, or with other non-custodial conditions following release will not prevent this market from resolving to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the State of Pakistan or Imran Khan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 695 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dull-Universe | No | 695 | $633 |
| Angry-Lunchroom | Yes | 308 | $28 |
| Worldly-Dump | Yes | 158 | $14 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 145 | $13 |
| Evil-Row | Yes | 141 | $13 |
| 0xf040b361… | No | 117 | $106 |
| Pointed-Wilderness | Yes | 52 | $5 |
| Gummy-Software | Yes | 52 | $5 |
| Arctic-Kickoff | No | 48 | $43 |
| Flamboyant-Warming | Yes | 35 | $3 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 10:30 AM ET | No | SELL | 90.0% | $5 |
| Oct 13, 09:00 AM ET | No | SELL | 90.0% | $2 |
| Oct 13, 09:00 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 8.0% | $4 |
| Oct 13, 09:00 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 9.0% | $2 |
| Oct 13, 09:00 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 9.0% | $18 |
| Oct 05, 10:22 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 10.0% | $6 |
| Oct 03, 09:35 PM ET | No | SELL | 90.0% | $43 |
| Oct 03, 09:35 PM ET | No | SELL | 91.0% | $56 |
| Oct 03, 06:47 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 9.0% | $3 |
| Sep 24, 03:54 PM ET | No | SELL | 91.0% | $5 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 91.0%. Next is Yes at 9.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/imran-khan-released-from-prison-by-december-31-2026-20260706202533140?via=bro
$3.5K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 91.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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