As of October 24, 2026, 07:44 PM ET, Polymarket traders price $250M at 17.0% in Ink FDV above ___ one day after launch? — $1.04M traded so far.
The leading outcome, $250M, is priced at 17.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -1.5 pts; past week: -5.0 pts; past month: -11.0 pts.
Since February 13, 2026, $250M has traded between 12.0% and 88.5%. It opened at 58.5% and last traded at 17.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 22.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 24.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 19.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 18.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 17.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 18.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 17.0% |
$250M is favored at 17.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $250M | 17¢ | 17.0% | -1.5 pts | $165.1K | 15.8% |
| $500M | 16¢ | 16.5% | — | $377.3K | 36.1% |
| $100M | 15¢ | 15.0% | -4.0 pts | $184.0K | 17.6% |
| $1B | 6¢ | 6.5% | +0.5 pts | $254.3K | 24.3% |
| $2B | 5¢ | 4.5% | +0.1 pts | $29.7K | 2.8% |
| $3B | 3¢ | 3.4% | +0.9 pts | $34.4K | 3.3% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 16¢ / ask 18¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$1.04M has been traded on this event in total, $4.3K of it in the last 24 hours, across 6 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ink's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ink (http://inkonchain.com/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolution source: https://inkonchain.com/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 10,560 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Runny-Cloakroom | Yes | 10,560 | $1.8K |
| Subdued-Revenant | No | 8,696 | $7.2K |
| Damp-Expression | No | 8,361 | $6.9K |
| Envious-Nail | No | 7,840 | $6.5K |
| Costly-Owner | Yes | 6,189 | $1.1K |
| Tense-Rabbi | Yes | 3,227 | $549 |
| Dangerous-Snarl | Yes | 3,114 | $529 |
| Nonstop-Antler | Yes | 1,500 | $255 |
| Obedient-Device | No | 1,500 | $1.2K |
| Mealy-Cafe | Yes | 1,500 | $255 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 07:16 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 15.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 06:51 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 15.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 06:46 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 15.0% | $15 |
| Oct 24, 05:25 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 13.0% | $9 |
| Oct 24, 05:21 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 13.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 05:21 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 14.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 05:21 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 14.3% | $227 |
| Oct 24, 05:21 PM ET | No | BUY | 87.0% | $52 |
| Oct 24, 11:56 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 17.0% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 11:05 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 16.0% | $5 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is $250M at 17.0%. Next is $500M at 16.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/ink-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch?via=bro
$1.04M in total volume, with $4.3K traded in the last 24 hours across 6 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://inkonchain.com/.
$250M, priced at 17.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
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