As of October 24, 2026, 07:56 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 99.4% in Is Earth flat? — $61.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 99.4%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -0.1 pts; past month: -0.1 pts.
Since June 08, 2026, No has traded between 97.2% and 99.6%. It opened at 98.1% and last traded at 99.4%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 99.3% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 99.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 99.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 99.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 99.4% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 99.4% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 99.4% |
No is favored at 99.4%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 99¢ | 99.4% | — | $61.0K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 1¢ | 0.6% | — | $61.0K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 0¢ (bid 0¢ / ask 1¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$61.0K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if conclusive proof that the earth is flat becomes public by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 2,120 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Worldly-Dump | Yes | 2,120 | $13 |
| Aggressive-Polenta | No | 1,323 | $1.3K |
| Wilted-Burden-Survivor | Yes | 1,270 | $8 |
| Pleasing-Elm | Yes | 834 | $5 |
| Woozy-Software | No | 417 | $414 |
| Sane-Cytokine | Yes | 407 | $2 |
| Extra-Large-Spine | Yes | 400 | $2 |
| Unknown-Painting | No | 400 | $398 |
| Kaleidoscopic-Tote-Comprehension | Yes | 357 | $2 |
| Eminent-Waiver | No | 239 | $238 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 05:55 AM ET | No | SELL | 99.3% | $10 |
| Oct 22, 05:23 AM ET | No | SELL | 99.3% | $10 |
| Oct 21, 05:11 AM ET | No | SELL | 99.3% | $51 |
| Oct 18, 06:49 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.5% | $10 |
| Oct 18, 06:24 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.5% | $20 |
| Oct 17, 08:33 PM ET | No | SELL | 99.3% | $142 |
| Oct 17, 08:31 PM ET | No | SELL | 99.3% | $136 |
| Oct 17, 11:55 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.4% | $10 |
| Oct 17, 08:12 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.6% | $30 |
| Oct 17, 06:35 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.4% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 99.4%. Next is Yes at 0.6%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/is-earth-flat-20260608195956112?via=bro
$61.0K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 99.4% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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