As of October 24, 2026, 06:33 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 99.1% in Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? — $2.61M traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 99.1%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -0.1 pts; past month: -1.2 pts.
Since December 29, 2025, No has traded between 91.6% and 99.2%. It opened at 96.0% and last traded at 99.2%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 99.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 99.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 98.8% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 98.9% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 99.2% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 99.1% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 99.2% |
No is favored at 99.1%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 99¢ | 99.1% | — | $2.61M | 100.0% |
| Yes | 1¢ | 0.9% | — | $2.61M | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 0¢ (bid 1¢ / ask 1¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$2.61M has been traded on this event in total, $803 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if incontrovertible proof is publicly revealed that Jeff Epstein, the New York financier, is still alive between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 105,310 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vital-Browser | No | 105,310 | $104.3K |
| Thankful-Allegation-Fahrenheit | Yes | 68,516 | $651 |
| Foolish-Propane | No | 29,125 | $28.8K |
| Serene-Decision | No | 22,906 | $22.7K |
| Scrawny-Gorilla | Yes | 18,661 | $177 |
| 0xa19f94bc… | Yes | 18,055 | $172 |
| Shocked-Anagram | No | 16,239 | $16.1K |
| 0x8931aa50… | No | 14,007 | $13.9K |
| Compassionate-Kneejerk | No | 11,829 | $11.7K |
| Imperfect-Beetle | Yes | 10,000 | $95 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:21 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.2% | $351 |
| Oct 24, 02:50 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.2% | $796 |
| Oct 23, 10:01 AM ET | No | SELL | 99.0% | $7 |
| Oct 23, 06:34 AM ET | No | SELL | 99.0% | $26 |
| Oct 23, 04:17 AM ET | No | SELL | 99.1% | $15 |
| Oct 23, 03:53 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.2% | $5 |
| Oct 23, 03:19 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.2% | $10 |
| Oct 23, 02:48 AM ET | No | SELL | 99.2% | $180 |
| Oct 23, 02:15 AM ET | No | SELL | 99.2% | $13 |
| Oct 23, 01:51 AM ET | No | SELL | 99.2% | $10 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 99.1%. Next is Yes at 0.9%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/is-jeffrey-epstein-alive-498?via=bro
$2.61M in total volume, with $803 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 99.1% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.