Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael # of seats?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:14 PM ET, Polymarket traders price <4 at 62.0% in Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael # of seats? — $17.6K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $155.
Leading outcome
<4
62%
A 62.0% price implies roughly a 62-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H −8.0 pts7D −6.5 pts30D +13.5 pts
<462.0%
4-637.5%
Bid
56¢
Ask
68¢
Spread
12¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since September 04, 2026: 32.5% – 72.0% · Opened at 43.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael # of seats?
Category
World, Israel, Politics, Elections, Geopolitics, Middle East, Israel Election, Global Elections, International Election Props
Scheduled end
October 27, 2026, 07:59 PM ET
Total volume
$17.6K
Volume (24h)
$155
Liquidity
$46.9K
Markets
4
Leading outcome
<4 — 62.0%
Resolution source
https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, <4, is priced at 62.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -8.0 pts; past week: -6.5 pts; past month: +13.5 pts.

Since September 04, 2026, <4 has traded between 32.5% and 72.0%. It opened at 43.0% and last traded at 61.0%.

DayClose
Oct 17, 202667.5%
Oct 18, 202665.5%
Oct 19, 202668.5%
Oct 20, 202671.5%
Oct 22, 202669.0%
Oct 23, 202670.0%
Oct 24, 202661.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

<4 is favored at 62.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
<462¢62.0%-8.0 pts$7.2K41.2%
4-638¢37.5%+14.0 pts$4.4K25.0%
7-92¢2.1%+0.8 pts$4.1K23.0%
10+1¢0.5%-0.1 pts$1.9K10.8%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 12¢ (bid 56¢ / ask 68¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$17.6K has been traded on this event in total, $155 of it in the last 24 hours, across 4 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 07:59 PM ET.

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Amcha Yisrael in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If Amcha Yisrael contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Amcha Yisrael merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Amcha Yisrael in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).

Resolution source: https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,768 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
0xa5ef39c3…No1,768$672
Chilly-CanteenYes576$357
ydxisthekingYes336$208
Sympathetic-PreventionYes330$205
Burdensome-JudgmentNo300$114
Pointed-SeasonYes226$140
Pale-FoodstuffsYes220$136
Expensive-Arrow-NightclubYes203$126
Smoggy-SunglassesYes183$113
Recent-Pantology-PlateYes152$94

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $148 at 99.5%BUY No — $100 at 99.5%BUY Yes — $94 at 78.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 08:13 PM ETNoBUY65.0%$13
Oct 24, 06:13 PM ETNoBUY32.0%$6
Oct 24, 06:11 PM ETYesBUY63.0%$13
Oct 24, 04:21 PM ETNoBUY69.0%$4
Oct 24, 02:06 PM ETYesSELL18.0%$1
Oct 24, 01:17 PM ETNoSELL97.6%$1
Oct 24, 01:15 PM ETYesSELL67.0%$2
Oct 24, 01:15 PM ETNoSELL71.0%$2
Oct 24, 01:14 PM ETNoSELL73.0%$2
Oct 24, 06:03 AM ETYesBUY69.0%$4

Related markets

More Politics

Brazil Presidential Election

Flávio Bolsonaro 83.8% · 24H VOL $2.01M

Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner

Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia 71.5% · 24H VOL $649.0K

Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael # of seats??

As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is <4 at 62.0%. Next is 4-6 at 37.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-amcha-yisrael-of-seats?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael # of seats??

$17.6K in total volume, with $155 traded in the last 24 hours across 4 markets.

When does Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael # of seats? end?

The market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 07:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page.

What is the most likely outcome of Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael # of seats?, according to Polymarket traders?

<4, priced at 62.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

Trade it on Polymarket

Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.

Sign Up on Polymarket

New here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.