Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Israel Election: Dems # of seats?

As of October 24, 2026, 06:35 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 8-9 at 61.0% in Israel Election: Dems # of seats? — $11.2K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $569.
Leading outcome
8-9
61%
A 61.0% price implies roughly a 61-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +7.0 pts7D +22.0 pts30D +40.0 pts
8-961.0%
10-1126.0%
Bid
50¢
Ask
72¢
Spread
22¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since September 04, 2026: 19.0% – 54.0% · Opened at 38.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Israel Election: Dems # of seats?
Category
World, Israel, Politics, Elections, Geopolitics, Middle East, Israel Election, Global Elections, International Election Props
Scheduled end
October 27, 2026, 07:59 PM ET
Total volume
$11.2K
Volume (24h)
$569
Liquidity
$4.9K
Markets
5
Leading outcome
8-9 — 61.0%
Resolution source
https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, 8-9, is priced at 61.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +7.0 pts; past week: +22.0 pts; past month: +40.0 pts.

Since September 04, 2026, 8-9 has traded between 19.0% and 54.0%. It opened at 38.0% and last traded at 53.5%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 202637.5%
Oct 18, 202638.0%
Oct 19, 202645.0%
Oct 20, 202641.0%
Oct 22, 202639.0%
Oct 23, 202654.0%
Oct 24, 202653.5%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

8-9 is favored at 61.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
8-961¢61.0%+7.0 pts$2.0K17.8%
10-1126¢26.0%+2.5 pts$3.0K26.8%
<822¢22.0%+3.0 pts$4.5K40.6%
14+6¢6.5%+1.1 pts$3913.5%
12-135¢4.5%-0.7 pts$1.3K11.3%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 22¢ (bid 50¢ / ask 72¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$11.2K has been traded on this event in total, $569 of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 07:59 PM ET.

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).

Resolution source: https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 412 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
0xa5ef39c3…No412$161
Treasured-Liner-CheddarYes250$153
Belated-GlueYes96$58
Known-UseNo64$25
Silent-RowboatYes46$28
Evil-RowNo37$14
Vicious-TestingYes31$19
Uncommon-Gutter-StanceYes29$18
Gleaming-HandlebarNo24$9
Blushing-ZipperYes20$12

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $202 at 84.9%SELL No — $52 at 84.3%BUY No — $50 at 88.7%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 04:51 PM ETNoBUY84.0%$17
Oct 24, 04:51 PM ETNoBUY47.0%$9
Oct 24, 04:51 PM ETYesBUY53.0%$11
Oct 24, 03:38 PM ETNoBUY49.0%$5
Oct 24, 03:38 PM ETNoBUY49.0%$5
Oct 24, 03:32 PM ETYesBUY34.0%$10
Oct 24, 02:56 PM ETNoBUY50.0%$4
Oct 24, 01:18 PM ETNoSELL66.0%$1
Oct 24, 01:16 PM ETNoSELL70.0%$1
Oct 24, 01:14 PM ETYesSELL50.0%$2

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Israel Election: Dems # of seats??

As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is 8-9 at 61.0%. Next is 10-11 at 26.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-dems-of-seats?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Israel Election: Dems # of seats??

$11.2K in total volume, with $569 traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.

When does Israel Election: Dems # of seats? end?

The market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 07:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page.

What is the most likely outcome of Israel Election: Dems # of seats?, according to Polymarket traders?

8-9, priced at 61.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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