As of October 24, 2026, 08:20 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 8-9 at 47.5% in Israel Election: Joint List # of seats? — $7.6K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 8-9, is priced at 47.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -10.0 pts; past week: +9.5 pts; past month: +10.5 pts.
Since September 04, 2026, 8-9 has traded between 22.0% and 57.0%. It opened at 42.5% and last traded at 57.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | 36.0% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 36.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 37.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 37.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 23.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 23.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 57.0% |
8-9 is favored at 47.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8-9 | 48¢ | 47.5% | -10.0 pts | $3.2K | 41.8% |
| 10-11 | 22¢ | 22.5% | -1.0 pts | $1.0K | 13.6% |
| 6-7 | 22¢ | 21.5% | +3.5 pts | $1.8K | 23.8% |
| <6 | 5¢ | 5.4% | -0.1 pts | $894 | 11.8% |
| 12+ | 3¢ | 2.8% | +2.1 pts | $688 | 9.1% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 17¢ (bid 39¢ / ask 56¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$7.6K has been traded on this event in total, $127 of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 07:59 PM ET.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Resolution source: https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 255 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 255 | $134 |
| Verifiable-Obstacle | Yes | 152 | $72 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 141 | $74 |
| 0xd0d90cd5… | Yes | 55 | $26 |
| Uncommon-Gutter-Stance | Yes | 53 | $25 |
| Favorable-Relay | Yes | 50 | $24 |
| Wretched-Township-Search | Yes | 38 | $18 |
| Fair-Tan | Yes | 20 | $10 |
| Required-Horn | No | 18 | $9 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | Yes | 14 | $7 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 01:18 PM ET | No | SELL | 65.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 01:17 PM ET | No | SELL | 78.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 01:15 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 39.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 02:57 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 20.0% | $9 |
| Oct 24, 02:36 AM ET | No | BUY | 90.0% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 02:03 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 19.0% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 08:00 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 8.0% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 01:42 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 10.0% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 01:41 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 59.0% | $5 |
| Oct 23, 01:41 PM ET | No | BUY | 82.0% | $7 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is 8-9 at 47.5%. Next is 10-11 at 22.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-joint-list-of-seats?via=bro
$7.6K in total volume, with $127 traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 07:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page.
8-9, priced at 47.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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