Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Israel Election: The Joint List vote share?

As of October 24, 2026, 06:28 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 7.5%+ at 54.5% in Israel Election: The Joint List vote share? — $8.3K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $1.5K.
Leading outcome
7.5%+
55%
A 54.5% price implies roughly a 55-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +40.0 pts7D +22.0 pts30D +42.5 pts
7.5%+54.5%
4.5-5.5%22.5%
Bid
50¢
Ask
59¢
Spread
9¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since September 08, 2026: 11.0% – 53.5% · Opened at 45.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Israel Election: The Joint List vote share?
Category
World, Israel, Politics, Elections, Israel Election, Global Elections, International Election Props
Scheduled end
October 27, 2026, 07:59 PM ET
Total volume
$8.3K
Volume (24h)
$1.5K
Liquidity
$17.3K
Markets
5
Leading outcome
7.5%+ — 54.5%
Resolution source
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, 7.5%+, is priced at 54.5%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +40.0 pts; past week: +22.0 pts; past month: +42.5 pts.

Since September 08, 2026, 7.5%+ has traded between 11.0% and 53.5%. It opened at 45.0% and last traded at 53.5%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 202637.5%
Oct 18, 202634.5%
Oct 19, 202626.0%
Oct 20, 202630.5%
Oct 22, 202614.0%
Oct 23, 202614.5%
Oct 24, 202653.5%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

7.5%+ is favored at 54.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
7.5%+55¢54.5%+40.0 pts$1.5K18.6%
4.5-5.5%22¢22.5%-8.5 pts$1.8K21.6%
6.5-7.5%19¢19.0%-8.0 pts$2.0K24.2%
5.5-6.5%10¢10.5%-9.5 pts$2.1K25.1%
<4.5%0¢0.4%-4.3 pts$87410.6%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 9¢ (bid 50¢ / ask 59¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$8.3K has been traded on this event in total, $1.5K of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 07:59 PM ET.

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Joint List party list in the Israeli Knesset elections. The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Joint List's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Joint List passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset. If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).

Resolution source: https://www.bechirot.gov.il/

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 514 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
0xa5ef39c3…No514$234
Pale-FoodstuffsYes373$203
Belated-GlueYes127$69
Sticky-Tabernacle-NurseryNo115$52
Required-HornYes64$35
Gleaming-HandlebarYes32$17
Burdensome-JudgmentYes27$15
Irresponsible-Chord-HunterYes7$4
Exemplary-DecisionmakingYes5$3
Powerful-WasteNo4$2

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $69 at 75.0%BUY No — $65 at 70.2%BUY No — $63 at 68.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 11:05 AM ETYesBUY15.0%$2
Oct 24, 11:05 AM ETNoBUY85.0%$11
Oct 24, 11:05 AM ETNoBUY79.0%$10
Oct 24, 11:05 AM ETYesBUY21.0%$8
Oct 24, 10:54 AM ETYesBUY14.0%$1
Oct 24, 10:40 AM ETYesBUY17.0%$2
Oct 24, 10:38 AM ETNoBUY83.0%$4
Oct 24, 10:38 AM ETYesBUY23.0%$5
Oct 24, 10:38 AM ETNoBUY84.0%$4
Oct 24, 10:38 AM ETNoBUY82.0%$16

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Israel Election: The Joint List vote share??

As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is 7.5%+ at 54.5%. Next is 4.5-5.5% at 22.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-the-joint-list-vote-share?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Israel Election: The Joint List vote share??

$8.3K in total volume, with $1.5K traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.

When does Israel Election: The Joint List vote share? end?

The market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 07:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.bechirot.gov.il/.

What is the most likely outcome of Israel Election: The Joint List vote share?, according to Polymarket traders?

7.5%+, priced at 54.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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