Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Israel Election: Unity vote share?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:22 PM ET, Polymarket traders price <0.5% at 98.3% in Israel Election: Unity vote share? — $6.1K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $0.
Leading outcome
<0.5%
98%
A 98.3% price implies roughly a 98-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H −0.1 pts7D +0.9 pts30D −0.4 pts
<0.5%98.3%
0.75-1%0.5%
Bid
98¢
Ask
99¢
Spread
1¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since September 08, 2026: 44.5% – 99.0% · Opened at 44.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Israel Election: Unity vote share?
Category
World, Israel, Politics, Elections, Israel Election, Global Elections, International Election Props
Scheduled end
October 27, 2026, 07:59 PM ET
Total volume
$6.1K
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$75.6K
Markets
5
Leading outcome
<0.5% — 98.3%
Resolution source
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, <0.5%, is priced at 98.3%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.1 pts; past week: +0.9 pts; past month: -0.4 pts.

Since September 08, 2026, <0.5% has traded between 44.5% and 99.0%. It opened at 44.5% and last traded at 98.4%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 202697.4%
Oct 18, 202697.2%
Oct 19, 202697.2%
Oct 20, 202697.7%
Oct 23, 202698.4%
Oct 24, 202698.2%
Oct 24, 202698.4%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

<0.5% is favored at 98.3%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
<0.5%98¢98.3%-0.1 pts$2.3K38.0%
0.75-1%1¢0.5%—$1.1K17.4%
1-2%1¢0.5%—$90014.7%
0.5-0.75%0¢0.5%-0.2 pts$98016.0%
2%+0¢0.1%—$84713.9%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 98¢ / ask 99¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$6.1K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 07:59 PM ET.

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections. The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset. If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).

Resolution source: https://www.bechirot.gov.il/

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,579 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Queasy-CougarYes1,579$1.6K
0xa5ef39c3…No839$14
Unwitting-FloorNo275$5
Belated-GlueNo226$4
Stale-CashewNo201$3
Far-SpitYes185$182
Straight-WrinkleNo105$2
Grim-GarageNo101$2
Candid-EncirclementYes68$67
Unselfish-Mineral-SundayYes60$59

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY Yes — $171 at 97.6%BUY No — $153 at 97.9%BUY No — $142 at 99.3%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 21, 04:09 PM ETYesSELL0.1%$0
Oct 21, 09:17 AM ETYesBUY98.8%$40
Oct 21, 09:17 AM ETYesBUY98.8%$40
Oct 21, 09:16 AM ETYesBUY98.8%$40
Oct 21, 09:16 AM ETYesBUY0.2%$0
Oct 21, 09:16 AM ETYesSELL0.2%$0
Oct 21, 09:16 AM ETYesBUY0.7%$0
Oct 21, 09:16 AM ETNoBUY99.3%$142
Oct 21, 09:15 AM ETYesBUY98.7%$39
Oct 20, 05:26 AM ETYesSELL0.2%$0

Related markets

More Politics

Brazil Presidential Election

Flávio Bolsonaro 83.8% · 24H VOL $2.01M

Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner

Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia 71.5% · 24H VOL $649.0K

Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Israel Election: Unity vote share??

As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is <0.5% at 98.3%. Next is 0.75-1% at 0.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-unity-vote-share?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Israel Election: Unity vote share??

$6.1K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.

When does Israel Election: Unity vote share? end?

The market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 07:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.bechirot.gov.il/.

What is the most likely outcome of Israel Election: Unity vote share?, according to Polymarket traders?

<0.5%, priced at 98.3% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

Trade it on Polymarket

Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.

Sign Up on Polymarket

New here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.