As of October 24, 2026, 08:15 PM ET, Polymarket traders price October 31 at 11.0% in Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by...? — $17.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, October 31, is priced at 11.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — past month: -6.0 pts.
Since September 02, 2026, October 31 has traded between 7.5% and 49.5%. It opened at 43.0% and last traded at 11.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 11.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 12.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 7.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 7.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 11.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 11.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 11.0% |
October 31 is favored at 11.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 31 | 11¢ | 11.0% | — | $16.6K | 98.1% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 14¢ (bid 4¢ / ask 18¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$17.0K has been traded on this event in total, $1 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 07:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a direct or indirect diplomatic meeting between Israel and Syria by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting occurs when representatives of both listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in diplomacy on behalf of their respective governments or governing authorities deliberately meet for the purpose of diplomacy or negotiation. A qualifying meeting need not result in any agreement, joint statement, or further engagement. A direct meeting refers to a diplomatic meeting where the representatives of both countries directly interact with each other in person. Meetings conducted through translators qualify, provided direct, face-to-face communication occurs. An indirect meeting refers to a meeting conducted indirectly through designated mediators or facilitators. A qualifying indirect meeting must meet both of the following criteria (i) the designated intermediaries act with the knowledge and authorization of both entities; (ii) representatives of both entities are physically present in the same facility, venue, or city as part of a single organized round of talks convened for the purpose of diplomatic engagement, with the intermediary conveying communications between the representatives or delegations on the same day. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 396 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 396 | $44 |
| Limp-Drawer | Yes | 291 | $32 |
| True-Parallelogram | No | 216 | $192 |
| Deadly-Halibut | No | 205 | $182 |
| Married-Career-Extension | No | 124 | $110 |
| Outrageous-Afterlife | No | 115 | $103 |
| Bouncy-Saving | Yes | 79 | $9 |
| Silver-Astronomy | No | 60 | $53 |
| Dimpled-Commercial | No | 40 | $36 |
| Wide-Eyed-Steward-Sensibility | No | 32 | $29 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 08:22 PM ET | No | BUY | 93.0% | $1 |
| Oct 12, 03:05 PM ET | No | BUY | 94.0% | $16 |
| Oct 09, 09:20 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 20.0% | $5 |
| Oct 08, 07:51 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 25.0% | $73 |
| Oct 05, 10:30 AM ET | No | BUY | 87.0% | $1 |
| Oct 04, 09:40 AM ET | No | BUY | 82.0% | $35 |
| Oct 03, 03:38 AM ET | No | BUY | 82.0% | $1 |
| Oct 02, 04:34 PM ET | No | BUY | 84.0% | $1 |
| Oct 02, 04:34 PM ET | No | BUY | 80.0% | $30 |
| Oct 02, 02:26 PM ET | No | BUY | 79.0% | $20 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is October 31 at 11.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/israel-x-syria-diplomatic-meeting-byptptpt?via=bro
$17.0K in total volume, with $1 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 07:59 PM ET.
October 31, priced at 11.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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