Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by...?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:15 PM ET, Polymarket traders price October 31 at 11.0% in Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by...? — $17.0K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $1.
Leading outcome
October 31
11%
A 11.0% price implies roughly a 11-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
30D −6.0 pts
Bid
4¢
Ask
18¢
Spread
14¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since September 02, 2026: 7.5% – 49.5% · Opened at 43.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by...?
Category
Syria, Israel, Politics, Geopolitics, Middle East
Scheduled end
October 31, 2026, 07:59 PM ET
Total volume
$17.0K
Volume (24h)
$1
Liquidity
$184
Markets
1
Leading outcome
October 31 — 11.0%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, October 31, is priced at 11.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — past month: -6.0 pts.

Since September 02, 2026, October 31 has traded between 7.5% and 49.5%. It opened at 43.0% and last traded at 11.0%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 202611.5%
Oct 18, 202612.0%
Oct 19, 20267.5%
Oct 20, 20267.5%
Oct 22, 202611.0%
Oct 23, 202611.0%
Oct 24, 202611.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

October 31 is favored at 11.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
October 3111¢11.0%—$16.6K98.1%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 14¢ (bid 4¢ / ask 18¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$17.0K has been traded on this event in total, $1 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 07:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a direct or indirect diplomatic meeting between Israel and Syria by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting occurs when representatives of both listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in diplomacy on behalf of their respective governments or governing authorities deliberately meet for the purpose of diplomacy or negotiation. A qualifying meeting need not result in any agreement, joint statement, or further engagement. A direct meeting refers to a diplomatic meeting where the representatives of both countries directly interact with each other in person. Meetings conducted through translators qualify, provided direct, face-to-face communication occurs. An indirect meeting refers to a meeting conducted indirectly through designated mediators or facilitators. A qualifying indirect meeting must meet both of the following criteria (i) the designated intermediaries act with the knowledge and authorization of both entities; (ii) representatives of both entities are physically present in the same facility, venue, or city as part of a single organized round of talks convened for the purpose of diplomatic engagement, with the intermediary conveying communications between the representatives or delegations on the same day. … (condensed)

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 396 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Belated-GlueYes396$44
Limp-DrawerYes291$32
True-ParallelogramNo216$192
Deadly-HalibutNo205$182
Married-Career-ExtensionNo124$110
Outrageous-AfterlifeNo115$103
Bouncy-SavingYes79$9
Silver-AstronomyNo60$53
Dimpled-CommercialNo40$36
Wide-Eyed-Steward-SensibilityNo32$29

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $100 at 85.4%BUY No — $85 at 85.0%BUY No — $75 at 75.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 23, 08:22 PM ETNoBUY93.0%$1
Oct 12, 03:05 PM ETNoBUY94.0%$16
Oct 09, 09:20 AM ETYesBUY20.0%$5
Oct 08, 07:51 PM ETYesBUY25.0%$73
Oct 05, 10:30 AM ETNoBUY87.0%$1
Oct 04, 09:40 AM ETNoBUY82.0%$35
Oct 03, 03:38 AM ETNoBUY82.0%$1
Oct 02, 04:34 PM ETNoBUY84.0%$1
Oct 02, 04:34 PM ETNoBUY80.0%$30
Oct 02, 02:26 PM ETNoBUY79.0%$20

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by...??

As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is October 31 at 11.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/israel-x-syria-diplomatic-meeting-byptptpt?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by...??

$17.0K in total volume, with $1 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.

When does Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by...? end?

The market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 07:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by...?, according to Polymarket traders?

October 31, priced at 11.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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