As of October 24, 2026, 08:12 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Yes at 55.0% in Israeli election results in a hung parliament? — $21.9K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Yes, is priced at 55.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +11.0 pts; past week: +20.0 pts; past month: +20.0 pts.
Since April 29, 2026, Yes has traded between 18.5% and 54.5%. It opened at 49.0% and last traded at 54.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 38.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 33.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 36.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 36.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 36.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 44.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 54.5% |
Yes is favored at 55.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 55¢ | 55.0% | +11.0 pts | $21.9K | 100.0% |
| No | 45¢ | 45.0% | -11.0 pts | $21.9K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 26¢ (bid 42¢ / ask 68¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$21.9K has been traded on this event in total, $100 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 07:59 PM ET.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel in 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if, following the next election for the Israeli Knesset, a new Knesset election is called prior to any government being formed. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Government formation refers to a political coalition or government being approved by an investiture vote of the Knesset. An election will be considered called if the Knesset is dissolved, or if a new Knesset election is otherwise officially announced by the Israeli government. If a government is formed following the election before a new Knesset election is called, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The failure of a government formation attempt will not alone qualify if no new Knesset election has been called. If neither occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 10,682 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attentive-Crewman | No | 10,682 | $4.8K |
| Wobbly-Pants | Yes | 1,972 | $1.1K |
| Lonely-Jacket | Yes | 1,500 | $825 |
| Feminine-Log | Yes | 950 | $523 |
| Melodic-Consul | Yes | 862 | $474 |
| Visible-Hedgehog | Yes | 842 | $463 |
| Burdensome-Judgment | Yes | 608 | $334 |
| Composed-Embellishment | Yes | 519 | $285 |
| Warmhearted-Chalice | Yes | 461 | $253 |
| Hateful-Chestnut | No | 418 | $188 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 08:10 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 50.0% | $40 |
| Oct 24, 07:53 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 50.0% | $10 |
| Oct 23, 04:22 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 40.5% | $28 |
| Oct 23, 03:23 PM ET | No | BUY | 62.0% | $5 |
| Oct 23, 03:23 PM ET | No | BUY | 62.0% | $5 |
| Oct 23, 03:23 PM ET | No | BUY | 62.0% | $6 |
| Oct 23, 03:08 PM ET | No | BUY | 62.0% | $5 |
| Oct 23, 03:08 PM ET | No | BUY | 62.0% | $5 |
| Oct 23, 03:08 PM ET | No | BUY | 62.0% | $5 |
| Oct 23, 03:00 PM ET | No | BUY | 62.0% | $6 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Yes at 55.0%. Next is No at 45.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-election-results-in-a-hung-parliament?via=bro
$21.9K in total volume, with $100 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 07:59 PM ET.
Yes, priced at 55.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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