As of October 24, 2026, 06:57 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Likud at 63.5% in Israeli Legislative Election: 2nd Place — $55.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Likud, is priced at 63.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -3.0 pts; past week: -5.5 pts.
Since October 05, 2026, Likud has traded between 24.0% and 70.5%. It opened at 44.0% and last traded at 63.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 56.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 68.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 66.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 70.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 67.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 66.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 63.5% |
Likud is favored at 63.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Likud | 64¢ | 63.5% | -3.0 pts | $12.8K | 23.1% |
| Party A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Yashar | 29¢ | 29.0% | -1.5 pts | $26.9K | 48.6% |
| Together | 4¢ | 3.9% | -1.1 pts | $5.1K | 9.2% |
| Shas | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $552 | 1.0% |
| The Democrats | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.1K | 2.0% |
| Otzma Yehudit | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $2.3K | 4.2% |
| Yisrael Beiteinu | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $659 | 1.2% |
| United Torah Judaism | 0¢ | 0.1% | -0.1 pts | $717 | 1.3% |
| RZP-Zehut | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $874 | 1.6% |
| Joint List | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $824 | 1.5% |
| Ra'am | 0¢ | 0.1% | -0.1 pts | $537 | 1.0% |
| Amcha Yisrael | 0¢ | 0.1% | -0.2 pts | $537 | 1.0% |
| Noam | 0¢ | 0.1% | -0.4 pts | $332 | 0.6% |
| The Reservists and the Economic Party | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.8K | 3.2% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 5¢ (bid 61¢ / ask 66¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$55.3K has been traded on this event in total, $7.9K of it in the last 24 hours, across 38 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. The named parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party or coalition, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 4,160 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 4,160 | $1.5K |
| High-Alarm | Yes | 825 | $524 |
| Lonely-Jacket | Yes | 821 | $521 |
| Shocked-Newsletter | Yes | 450 | $286 |
| Pleased-Horror | Yes | 434 | $276 |
| Liquid-Cruise | Yes | 370 | $235 |
| Brown-Tragedy | Yes | 333 | $212 |
| Forthright-Forager | No | 323 | $118 |
| Arctic-Senate | Yes | 300 | $190 |
| Wan-Fusarium | Yes | 287 | $182 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:31 PM ET | No | SELL | 36.0% | $22 |
| Oct 24, 05:12 PM ET | No | BUY | 37.0% | $27 |
| Oct 24, 05:12 PM ET | No | SELL | 37.0% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 05:12 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 60.0% | $200 |
| Oct 24, 05:12 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 62.6% | $38 |
| Oct 24, 05:12 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 62.0% | $14 |
| Oct 24, 05:12 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 61.3% | $37 |
| Oct 24, 05:12 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 61.0% | $37 |
| Oct 24, 05:12 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 60.0% | $36 |
| Oct 24, 05:11 PM ET | No | BUY | 70.0% | $48 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET, the leading outcome is Likud at 63.5%. Next is Party A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-legislative-election-2nd-place?via=bro
$55.3K in total volume, with $7.9K traded in the last 24 hours across 38 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Likud, priced at 63.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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