As of October 24, 2026, 06:29 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Party A at 50.0% in Israeli Legislative Election: 4th Place — $22.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Party A, is priced at 50.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.0 pts; past week: +0.0 pts; past month: +0.0 pts.
Party A is favored at 50.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| The Democrats | 32¢ | 31.5% | -0.5 pts | $3.6K | 16.6% |
| Shas | 26¢ | 25.5% | +1.0 pts | $2.0K | 8.9% |
| Joint List | 21¢ | 20.8% | +0.3 pts | $1.4K | 6.5% |
| Together | 10¢ | 10.5% | -0.5 pts | $3.4K | 15.3% |
| Otzma Yehudit | 10¢ | 10.5% | -4.0 pts | $2.5K | 11.4% |
| Yisrael Beiteinu | 3¢ | 3.0% | -1.8 pts | $2.8K | 12.8% |
| Amcha Yisrael | 2¢ | 1.5% | +1.0 pts | $1.1K | 5.0% |
| RZP-Zehut | 1¢ | 0.6% | — | $621 | 2.8% |
| Noam | 1¢ | 0.5% | -0.1 pts | $859 | 3.9% |
| United Torah Judaism | 0¢ | 0.5% | — | $381 | 1.7% |
| Blue and White | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $965 | 4.4% |
| The Reservists and the Economic Party | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $614 | 2.8% |
| Likud | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $448 | 2.0% |
| Yashar | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $692 | 3.2% |
| Ra'am | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $570 | 2.6% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 100¢ (bid 0¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$22.0K has been traded on this event in total, $811 of it in the last 24 hours, across 39 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. The named parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party or coalition, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 735 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 735 | $368 |
| Tepid-Monopoly | Yes | 269 | $134 |
| Starry-Studio | Yes | 145 | $72 |
| Messy-Ritual-Hops | Yes | 70 | $35 |
| Grown-Fence | Yes | 52 | $26 |
| Sparse-Cookie | Yes | 50 | $25 |
| Straight-Wrinkle | Yes | 40 | $20 |
| Known-Use | Yes | 31 | $16 |
| Nonstop-Accountability-Hearthside | Yes | 20 | $10 |
| Victorious-Tape-Max | Yes | 19 | $10 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 05:17 PM ET | No | SELL | 68.0% | $32 |
| Oct 23, 05:17 PM ET | No | SELL | 68.0% | $41 |
| Oct 23, 05:17 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 29.0% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 05:17 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 31.0% | $33 |
| Oct 23, 05:17 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 31.0% | $32 |
| Oct 23, 05:17 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 31.0% | $32 |
| Oct 23, 05:17 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 31.0% | $37 |
| Oct 23, 01:08 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 4.8% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 11:14 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 8.0% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 11:14 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 12.0% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Party A at 50.0%. Next is Party B at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-legislative-election-4th-place?via=bro
$22.0K in total volume, with $811 traded in the last 24 hours across 39 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Party A, priced at 50.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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