Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Israeli Legislative Election: Turnout

As of October 24, 2026, 06:24 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 74%+ at 35.0% in Israeli Legislative Election: Turnout — $18.3K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $3.9K.
Leading outcome
74%+
35%
A 35.0% price implies roughly a 35-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +2.5 pts7D +7.5 pts
74%+35.0%
72-74%33.5%
Bid
34¢
Ask
36¢
Spread
2¢
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Range since October 14, 2026: 13.5% – 36.0% · Opened at 24.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Israeli Legislative Election: Turnout
Category
Israel, Politics, Elections, Israel Election, Global Elections, International Election Props
Scheduled end
October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$18.3K
Volume (24h)
$3.9K
Liquidity
$93.1K
Markets
6
Leading outcome
74%+ — 35.0%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, 74%+, is priced at 35.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +2.5 pts; past week: +7.5 pts.

Since October 14, 2026, 74%+ has traded between 13.5% and 36.0%. It opened at 24.0% and last traded at 35.0%.

DayClose
Oct 17, 202627.5%
Oct 18, 202621.5%
Oct 19, 202628.0%
Oct 20, 202622.5%
Oct 22, 202630.0%
Oct 23, 202636.0%
Oct 24, 202635.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

74%+ is favored at 35.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
74%+35¢35.0%+2.5 pts$6.6K36.1%
72-74%34¢33.5%+9.0 pts$3.0K16.5%
70-72%24¢23.5%+3.5 pts$3.2K17.4%
68-70%10¢9.5%-7.0 pts$2.5K13.7%
<66%1¢0.7%+0.5 pts$1.8K9.8%
66-68%1¢0.5%—$1.2K6.5%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 34¢ / ask 36¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$18.3K has been traded on this event in total, $3.9K of it in the last 24 hours, across 6 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Israeli legislative election to the Knesset, defined as the total number of votes cast (סה"כ קולות שהוזנו) divided by the total number of eligible voters (סה"כ בעלי זכות בחירה). (see 2022 example: https://votes25.bechirot.gov.il/) If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by the Israeli government, including the Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 841 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
0xa5ef39c3…No841$547
Awesome-AvailabilityNo744$483
Jovial-DiaryNo356$232
0x3564035c…Yes297$104
Shady-Dulcimer-CoordinationYes278$97
Voluminous-DiaperYes259$91
Belated-GlueYes238$83
Uncomfortable-Officer-BasinYes173$61
Productive-PhenomenonNo144$94
Bossy-Birdcage-PeriodYes138$48

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $440 at 63.5%BUY Yes — $70 at 27.0%BUY No — $45 at 75.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 04:38 PM ETNoSELL67.0%$10
Oct 24, 04:19 PM ETYesBUY32.0%$5
Oct 24, 04:18 PM ETNoBUY76.0%$10
Oct 24, 04:18 PM ETNoBUY76.0%$10
Oct 24, 04:18 PM ETNoSELL63.0%$0
Oct 24, 04:18 PM ETNoBUY70.0%$9
Oct 24, 04:18 PM ETYesBUY37.0%$5
Oct 24, 04:18 PM ETYesBUY37.0%$5
Oct 24, 12:57 PM ETYesSELL24.0%$1
Oct 24, 12:57 PM ETYesSELL24.0%$1

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Israeli Legislative Election: Turnout?

As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is 74%+ at 35.0%. Next is 72-74% at 33.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-legislative-election-turnout?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Israeli Legislative Election: Turnout?

$18.3K in total volume, with $3.9K traded in the last 24 hours across 6 markets.

When does Israeli Legislative Election: Turnout end?

The market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Israeli Legislative Election: Turnout, according to Polymarket traders?

74%+, priced at 35.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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