As of October 24, 2026, 06:24 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 74%+ at 35.0% in Israeli Legislative Election: Turnout — $18.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 74%+, is priced at 35.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +2.5 pts; past week: +7.5 pts.
Since October 14, 2026, 74%+ has traded between 13.5% and 36.0%. It opened at 24.0% and last traded at 35.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 27.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 21.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 28.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 22.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 30.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 36.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 35.0% |
74%+ is favored at 35.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 74%+ | 35¢ | 35.0% | +2.5 pts | $6.6K | 36.1% |
| 72-74% | 34¢ | 33.5% | +9.0 pts | $3.0K | 16.5% |
| 70-72% | 24¢ | 23.5% | +3.5 pts | $3.2K | 17.4% |
| 68-70% | 10¢ | 9.5% | -7.0 pts | $2.5K | 13.7% |
| <66% | 1¢ | 0.7% | +0.5 pts | $1.8K | 9.8% |
| 66-68% | 1¢ | 0.5% | — | $1.2K | 6.5% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 34¢ / ask 36¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$18.3K has been traded on this event in total, $3.9K of it in the last 24 hours, across 6 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Israeli legislative election to the Knesset, defined as the total number of votes cast (סה"כ קולות שהוזנו) divided by the total number of eligible voters (סה"כ בעלי זכות בחירה). (see 2022 example: https://votes25.bechirot.gov.il/) If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by the Israeli government, including the Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 841 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 841 | $547 |
| Awesome-Availability | No | 744 | $483 |
| Jovial-Diary | No | 356 | $232 |
| 0x3564035c… | Yes | 297 | $104 |
| Shady-Dulcimer-Coordination | Yes | 278 | $97 |
| Voluminous-Diaper | Yes | 259 | $91 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 238 | $83 |
| Uncomfortable-Officer-Basin | Yes | 173 | $61 |
| Productive-Phenomenon | No | 144 | $94 |
| Bossy-Birdcage-Period | Yes | 138 | $48 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 04:38 PM ET | No | SELL | 67.0% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 04:19 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 32.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 04:18 PM ET | No | BUY | 76.0% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 04:18 PM ET | No | BUY | 76.0% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 04:18 PM ET | No | SELL | 63.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 04:18 PM ET | No | BUY | 70.0% | $9 |
| Oct 24, 04:18 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 37.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 04:18 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 37.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 12:57 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 24.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 12:57 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 24.0% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is 74%+ at 35.0%. Next is 72-74% at 33.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-legislative-election-turnout?via=bro
$18.3K in total volume, with $3.9K traded in the last 24 hours across 6 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
74%+, priced at 35.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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