As of October 24, 2026, 09:22 PM ET, Polymarket traders price M25 Sarreguemines: Philip Henning vs Arthur Nagel: Philip Henning at 62.5% in M25 Sarreguemines: Philip Henning vs Arthur Nagel — $157 traded so far.
M25 Sarreguemines: Philip Henning vs Arthur Nagel: Philip Henning is favored at 62.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M25 Sarreguemines: Philip Henning vs Arthur Nagel: Philip Henning | 62¢ | 62.5% | — | $157 | 100.0% |
| M25 Sarreguemines: Philip Henning vs Arthur Nagel Set Handicap +/-1.5: Arthur Nagel | 55¢ | 54.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| M25 Sarreguemines: Philip Henning vs Arthur Nagel Set Handicap +/-1.5: Arthur Nagel | 55¢ | 54.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| M25 Sarreguemines: Philip Henning vs Arthur Nagel Set Handicap +/-1.5: Philip Henning | 46¢ | 45.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| M25 Sarreguemines: Philip Henning vs Arthur Nagel Set Handicap +/-1.5: Philip Henning | 46¢ | 45.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| M25 Sarreguemines: Philip Henning vs Arthur Nagel: Arthur Nagel | 38¢ | 37.5% | — | $157 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 61¢ / ask 64¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$157 has been traded on this event in total, $157 of it in the last 24 hours, across 3 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 01, 2026, 03:00 AM ET.
This market refers to the tennis match between Philip Henning and Arthur Nagel in the M25 Sarreguemines, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Philip Henning' if Philip Henning advances against Arthur Nagel. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Nagel' if Arthur Nagel advances against Philip Henning. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 90 shares of Arthur Nagel.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Loose-Associate | Arthur Nagel | 90 | $34 |
| Trivial-Player | Philip Henning | 50 | $31 |
| Spiffy-Step | Philip Henning | 34 | $21 |
| Charming-Kidney-Imagination | Arthur Nagel | 34 | $13 |
| Alert-Sofa | Philip Henning | 16 | $10 |
| Carefree-Humanity-Hallway | Philip Henning | 10 | $6 |
| Lanky-Deal | Philip Henning | 7 | $4 |
| Unkempt-Herring-Complicity | Arthur Nagel | 6 | $2 |
| Strident-Driving-Division | Philip Henning | 5 | $3 |
| Reflecting-Itinerary | Philip Henning | 5 | $3 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:31 PM ET | Arthur Nagel | BUY | 38.0% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 05:31 PM ET | Arthur Nagel | BUY | 37.0% | $12 |
| Oct 24, 05:31 PM ET | Arthur Nagel | BUY | 38.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 05:11 PM ET | Philip Henning | BUY | 67.0% | $23 |
| Oct 24, 05:04 PM ET | Philip Henning | BUY | 63.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 05:03 PM ET | Arthur Nagel | BUY | 38.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 05:03 PM ET | Philip Henning | BUY | 67.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 04:59 PM ET | Arthur Nagel | BUY | 37.0% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 04:59 PM ET | Arthur Nagel | BUY | 38.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 04:49 PM ET | Philip Henning | BUY | 70.0% | $5 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET, the leading outcome is M25 Sarreguemines: Philip Henning vs Arthur Nagel: Philip Henning at 62.5%. Next is M25 Sarreguemines: Philip Henning vs Arthur Nagel Set Handicap +/-1.5: Arthur Nagel at 54.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/itf-hennin1-nagel1-2026-10-25?via=bro
$157 in total volume, with $157 traded in the last 24 hours across 3 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 01, 2026, 03:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/.
M25 Sarreguemines: Philip Henning vs Arthur Nagel: Philip Henning, priced at 62.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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