As of October 24, 2026, 06:31 PM ET, Polymarket traders price M15 Shenzhen: Luca Staeheli vs Mikalai Haliak: Luca Staeheli at 71.5% in M15 Shenzhen: Luca Staeheli vs Mikalai Haliak — $982 traded so far.
M15 Shenzhen: Luca Staeheli vs Mikalai Haliak: Luca Staeheli is favored at 71.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M15 Shenzhen: Luca Staeheli vs Mikalai Haliak: Luca Staeheli | 72¢ | 71.5% | — | $731 | 74.4% |
| M15 Shenzhen: Luca Staeheli vs Mikalai Haliak Set Handicap +/-1.5: Mikalai Haliak | 55¢ | 54.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| M15 Shenzhen: Luca Staeheli vs Mikalai Haliak Set Handicap +/-1.5: Luca Staeheli | 52¢ | 51.5% | — | $251 | 25.6% |
| M15 Shenzhen: Luca Staeheli vs Mikalai Haliak Set Handicap +/-1.5: Mikalai Haliak | 48¢ | 48.5% | — | $251 | 25.6% |
| M15 Shenzhen: Luca Staeheli vs Mikalai Haliak Set Handicap +/-1.5: Luca Staeheli | 46¢ | 45.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| M15 Shenzhen: Luca Staeheli vs Mikalai Haliak: Mikalai Haliak | 28¢ | 28.5% | — | $731 | 74.4% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 70¢ / ask 73¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$982 has been traded on this event in total, $982 of it in the last 24 hours, across 3 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 10:00 PM ET.
This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Staeheli and Mikalai Haliak in the M15 Shenzhen, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luca Staeheli' if Luca Staeheli advances against Mikalai Haliak. This market will resolve to 'Mikalai Haliak' if Mikalai Haliak advances against Luca Staeheli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 600 shares of Mikalai Haliak.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Querulous-Enrollment | Mikalai Haliak | 600 | $171 |
| Unlawful-Rubbish-Gator | Luca Staeheli | 435 | $311 |
| Idle-Paint | Luca Staeheli | 175 | $125 |
| Limited-Worship | Mikalai Haliak | 114 | $33 |
| Hollow-Maggot-Sense | Luca Staeheli | 67 | $48 |
| Creamy-Guest | Luca Staeheli | 33 | $24 |
| 0x5c545494… | Luca Staeheli | 15 | $11 |
| 0x18bf8998… | Mikalai Haliak | 15 | $4 |
| Lazy-Childhood-Luxury | Luca Staeheli | 14 | $10 |
| Radiant-Chimpanzee | Mikalai Haliak | 10 | $3 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 03:20 PM ET | Luca Staeheli | BUY | 53.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 03:20 PM ET | Luca Staeheli | BUY | 53.0% | $49 |
| Oct 24, 02:42 PM ET | Luca Staeheli | BUY | 51.0% | $61 |
| Oct 24, 02:42 PM ET | Luca Staeheli | BUY | 51.0% | $15 |
| Oct 24, 02:42 PM ET | Luca Staeheli | BUY | 51.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 06:42 AM ET | Luca Staeheli | BUY | 69.0% | $300 |
| Oct 24, 06:26 AM ET | Luca Staeheli | BUY | 69.0% | $121 |
| Oct 24, 05:03 AM ET | Luca Staeheli | BUY | 69.0% | $23 |
| Oct 24, 05:03 AM ET | Luca Staeheli | BUY | 69.0% | $46 |
| Oct 24, 04:44 AM ET | Luca Staeheli | BUY | 67.0% | $3 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is M15 Shenzhen: Luca Staeheli vs Mikalai Haliak: Luca Staeheli at 71.5%. Next is M15 Shenzhen: Luca Staeheli vs Mikalai Haliak Set Handicap +/-1.5: Mikalai Haliak at 54.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/itf-staehe1-haliak1-2026-10-25?via=bro
$982 in total volume, with $982 traded in the last 24 hours across 3 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 10:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/.
M15 Shenzhen: Luca Staeheli vs Mikalai Haliak: Luca Staeheli, priced at 71.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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