As of October 24, 2026, 09:32 PM ET, Polymarket traders price M15 Selva Gardena: Oliwier Sterniczuk vs Dominik Matic: Oliwier Sterniczuk at 58.5% in M15 Selva Gardena: Oliwier Sterniczuk vs Dominik Matic — $6 traded so far.
M15 Selva Gardena: Oliwier Sterniczuk vs Dominik Matic: Oliwier Sterniczuk is favored at 58.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M15 Selva Gardena: Oliwier Sterniczuk vs Dominik Matic: Oliwier Sterniczuk | 58¢ | 58.5% | — | $6 | 100.0% |
| M15 Selva Gardena: Oliwier Sterniczuk vs Dominik Matic Set Handicap +/-1.5: Dominik Matic | 50¢ | 50.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| M15 Selva Gardena: Oliwier Sterniczuk vs Dominik Matic Set Handicap +/-1.5: Oliwier Sterniczuk | 50¢ | 50.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| M15 Selva Gardena: Oliwier Sterniczuk vs Dominik Matic Set Handicap +/-1.5: Oliwier Sterniczuk | 50¢ | 49.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| M15 Selva Gardena: Oliwier Sterniczuk vs Dominik Matic Set Handicap +/-1.5: Dominik Matic | 50¢ | 49.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| M15 Selva Gardena: Oliwier Sterniczuk vs Dominik Matic: Dominik Matic | 42¢ | 41.5% | — | $6 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 7¢ (bid 55¢ / ask 62¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$6 has been traded on this event in total, $6 of it in the last 24 hours, across 3 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 01, 2026, 07:00 AM ET.
This market refers to the tennis match between Oliwier Sterniczuk and Dominik Matic in the M15 Selva Gardena, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Oliwier Sterniczuk' if Oliwier Sterniczuk advances against Dominik Matic. This market will resolve to 'Dominik Matic' if Dominik Matic advances against Oliwier Sterniczuk. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 6 shares of Oliwier Sterniczuk.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Unkempt-Herring-Complicity | Oliwier Sterniczuk | 6 | $3 |
| Loose-Associate | Dominik Matic | 6 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 08:30 PM ET | Dominik Matic | BUY | 45.0% | $3 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:25 PM ET, the leading outcome is M15 Selva Gardena: Oliwier Sterniczuk vs Dominik Matic: Oliwier Sterniczuk at 58.5%. Next is M15 Selva Gardena: Oliwier Sterniczuk vs Dominik Matic Set Handicap +/-1.5: Dominik Matic at 50.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/itf-sterni1-matic1-2026-10-25?via=bro
$6 in total volume, with $6 traded in the last 24 hours across 3 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 01, 2026, 07:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/.
M15 Selva Gardena: Oliwier Sterniczuk vs Dominik Matic: Oliwier Sterniczuk, priced at 58.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:25 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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