As of October 24, 2026, 09:06 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Yes at 72.0% in Will Invesco (IVZ) beat quarterly earnings? — $1.6K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Yes, is priced at 72.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +4.5 pts; past week: +38.5 pts.
Since October 16, 2026, Yes has traded between 42.0% and 72.0%. It opened at 71.5% and last traded at 72.0%.
Yes is favored at 72.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 72¢ | 72.0% | +4.5 pts | $1.6K | 100.0% |
| No | 28¢ | 28.0% | -4.5 pts | $1.6K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 71¢ / ask 73¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$1.6K has been traded on this event in total, $72 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 09:00 AM ET.
As of market creation, Invesco is estimated to release earnings on October 27, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Invesco’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.74 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Invesco reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $0.74 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Invesco releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/IVZ/earnings
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 350 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Awesome-Availability | No | 350 | $98 |
| Frosty-Funding | Yes | 169 | $122 |
| Chief-Plot | Yes | 100 | $72 |
| Prudent-Wheel | Yes | 99 | $71 |
| Bumpy-Conscience | Yes | 74 | $53 |
| Great-Pompom-Patriot | No | 70 | $20 |
| Evil-Row | No | 29 | $8 |
| Careful-Toughguy | Yes | 27 | $20 |
| Insidious-Meteor | No | 20 | $6 |
| Dim-Crumb | Yes | 20 | $14 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 07:31 AM ET | No | SELL | 29.0% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 07:31 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 72.0% | $14 |
| Oct 24, 03:46 AM ET | No | SELL | 26.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 03:46 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 73.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 03:46 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 72.0% | $4 |
| Oct 23, 09:16 PM ET | No | BUY | 27.0% | $5 |
| Oct 23, 06:09 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 57.0% | $57 |
| Oct 23, 06:56 AM ET | No | SELL | 45.0% | $0 |
| Oct 22, 03:39 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 53.0% | $4 |
| Oct 22, 01:25 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 40.0% | $0 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is Yes at 72.0%. Next is No at 28.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/ivz-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-10-27-2026-0pt74?via=bro
$1.6K in total volume, with $72 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 09:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/IVZ/earnings.
Yes, priced at 72.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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