As of October 24, 2026, 09:00 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 4.5+ rushing TDs at 4.0% in Pro Football: Jalen Hurts 2026-27 Regular Season Rushing Touchdowns — $2.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 4.5+ rushing TDs, is priced at 4.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -22.5 pts; past month: -78.5 pts.
Since August 11, 2026, 4.5+ rushing TDs has traded between 4.0% and 88.5%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 4.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 51.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 46.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 26.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 25.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 25.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 4.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 4.0% |
4.5+ rushing TDs is favored at 4.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5+ rushing TDs | 4¢ | 4.0% | — | $202 | 9.6% |
| 6.5+ rushing TDs | 3¢ | 3.3% | -0.1 pts | $738 | 35.0% |
| 12.5+ rushing TDs | 3¢ | 3.0% | — | $469 | 22.2% |
| 10.5+ rushing TDs | 3¢ | 2.7% | -0.1 pts | $344 | 16.3% |
| 8.5+ rushing TDs | 1¢ | 1.3% | -0.7 pts | $358 | 16.9% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 6¢ (bid 1¢ / ask 7¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$2.1K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of rushing touchdowns Jalen Hurts records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 4.5. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Jalen Hurts does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many rushing touchdowns Jalen Hurts recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 30 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Smug-Snowman | No | 30 | $29 |
| Insignificant-Forelimb | Yes | 20 | $1 |
| Embarrassed-Hill-Fold | Yes | 20 | $1 |
| Willing-Vivo-Video | No | 20 | $19 |
| Negative-Meander | Yes | 19 | $1 |
| Known-Use | No | 9 | $9 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 02:39 PM ET | No | SELL | 95.0% | $5 |
| Oct 20, 12:01 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.1% | $0 |
| Oct 19, 10:24 PM ET | No | SELL | 95.0% | $12 |
| Oct 19, 08:09 PM ET | No | SELL | 86.5% | $1 |
| Oct 19, 10:16 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 21.0% | $1 |
| Oct 19, 05:02 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 25.0% | $2 |
| Oct 17, 06:43 PM ET | No | SELL | 93.0% | $8 |
| Oct 17, 06:43 PM ET | No | BUY | 93.0% | $14 |
| Oct 17, 04:10 PM ET | No | BUY | 93.0% | $1 |
| Oct 17, 04:09 PM ET | No | BUY | 93.0% | $5 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is 4.5+ rushing TDs at 4.0%. Next is 6.5+ rushing TDs at 3.3%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/jalen-hurts-rushing-touchdowns-2026-27?via=bro
$2.1K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
4.5+ rushing TDs, priced at 4.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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