As of October 24, 2026, 08:54 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 8.5+ receiving TDs at 76.5% in Pro Football: Ja'Marr Chase 2026-27 Regular Season Receiving Touchdowns — $3.5K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 8.5+ receiving TDs, is priced at 76.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +22.0 pts; past month: +8.5 pts.
Since August 11, 2026, 8.5+ receiving TDs has traded between 40.5% and 83.5%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 76.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 61.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 59.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 66.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 68.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 76.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 76.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 76.5% |
8.5+ receiving TDs is favored at 76.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.5+ receiving TDs | 76¢ | 76.5% | — | $1.5K | 42.8% |
| 6.5+ receiving TDs | 76¢ | 76.0% | +1.5 pts | $823 | 23.7% |
| 10.5+ receiving TDs | 50¢ | 49.5% | -0.5 pts | $107 | 3.1% |
| 12.5+ receiving TDs | 46¢ | 45.5% | — | $336 | 9.7% |
| 14.5+ receiving TDs | 20¢ | 20.5% | — | $722 | 20.8% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 33¢ (bid 60¢ / ask 93¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$3.5K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of receiving touchdowns Ja'Marr Chase records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 8.5. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Ja'Marr Chase does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many receiving touchdowns Ja'Marr Chase recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 200 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Prickly-Lacquerware | Yes | 200 | $153 |
| Shiny-Address | Yes | 185 | $142 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 96 | $23 |
| Chief-Plot | No | 95 | $22 |
| Direct-Chainstay | No | 70 | $16 |
| Pointed-Wilderness | No | 60 | $14 |
| Oddball-Poison | No | 39 | $9 |
| Bulky-Eavesdropper | No | 20 | $5 |
| Unfortunate-Particle | Yes | 15 | $11 |
| Plump-Implementation | No | 12 | $3 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 05:44 PM ET | No | BUY | 25.0% | $19 |
| Oct 18, 05:44 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 74.5% | $92 |
| Oct 17, 11:51 AM ET | No | BUY | 17.0% | $3 |
| Oct 11, 07:34 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 45.0% | $9 |
| Oct 10, 07:33 PM ET | No | SELL | 23.0% | $1 |
| Oct 10, 07:21 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 69.0% | $7 |
| Oct 10, 08:51 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 7.0% | $2 |
| Oct 09, 01:23 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 74.0% | $7 |
| Oct 04, 05:46 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 4.0% | $1 |
| Oct 04, 02:16 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 65.0% | $13 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is 8.5+ receiving TDs at 76.5%. Next is 6.5+ receiving TDs at 76.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/jamarr-chase-receiving-touchdowns-2026-27?via=bro
$3.5K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
8.5+ receiving TDs, priced at 76.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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